Week 12, 2024 Early Games - WalterFootball

Overview

• Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2) at Cleveland Browns (2-8)
  • Line: Steelers by 4
  • Total: 37
  • Date: Thursday, Nov. 21, 8:15 PM
  • Outcome: Browns 24, Steelers 19
• Detroit Lions (9-1) at Indianapolis Colts (5-6)
  • Line: Lions by 7.5
  • Total: 50.5
  • Date: Sunday, Nov. 24, 1:00 PM
• Kansas City Chiefs (9-1) at Carolina Panthers (3-7)
  • Line: Chiefs by 10.5
  • Total: 43
  • Date: Sunday, Nov. 24, 1:00 PM
• Minnesota Vikings (8-2) at Chicago Bears (4-6)
  • Line: Vikings by 3
  • Total: 39.5
  • Date: Sunday, Nov. 24, 1:00 PM
• Dallas Cowboys (3-7) at Washington Redskins (7-4)
  • Line: Redskins by 10
  • Total: 45
  • Date: Sunday, Nov. 24, 1:00 PM
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6) at New York Giants (2-8)
  • Line: Buccaneers by 6
  • Total: 40
  • Date: Sunday, Nov. 24, 1:00 PM
• New England Patriots (3-8) at Miami Dolphins (4-6)
  • Line: Dolphins by 7.5
  • Total: 45.5
  • Date: Sunday, Nov. 24, 1:00 PM
• Tennessee Titans (2-8) at Houston Texans (7-4)
  • Line: Texans by 7.5
  • Total: 40.5
  • Date: Sunday, Nov. 24, 1:00 PM

Key Points

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns

• Steelers Offense:
  • Disappointing against Ravens; only managed six field goals.
  • Struggle against strong pass rush and good outside coverage like the Browns.
• Browns Offense:
  • Improved with Jameis Winston; deep throws against weak defenses.
  • Struggles against strong defenses like Steelers.
• Weather Conditions: Benefits Steelers; rain and wind predicted.
• Betting Insight: Steelrers might be unfocused after big win vs. Ravens.
• Final Pick: Browns +4, Under 37.

Detroit Lions at Indianapolis Colts

• Lions Offense:
  • Strong against teams weak against running backs and slot receivers.
  • Colts weak against run, providing opportunities for Montgomery and Gibbs.
• Colts Offense:
  • Dependence on Jonathan Taylor, but Lions defend run well.
  • Anthony Richardson could exploit Lions' lack of experience against mobile QBs.
• Betting Insight: Lions might overlook Colts with a game in four days.
• Final Pick: Colts +7.5 expected to cover.

Kansas City Chiefs at Carolina Panthers

• Chiefs Offense:
  • Issues with edge blocking; Mahomes not at peak form.
  • Potential absence of Isiah Pacheco.
• Panthers Offense:
  • Return of Adam Thielen crucial for Bryce Young.
  • Matchup against Chiefs' strong run defense.
• Betting Insight: Chiefs less likely to cover large spreads post first loss.
• Final Pick: Panthers +10.5, Over 43.

Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears

• Vikings Offense:
  • Sam Darnold needs to improve after mixed performances.
  • Aaron Jones key against Bears' weak run defense.
• Bears Offense:
  • Caleb Williams may struggle against Brian Flores' blitz schemes.
  • Limited run success anticipated against strong Vikings defense.
• Betting Insight: Vikings have defensive edge; cautious approach advised.
• Final Pick: Vikings -3 expected to win.

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins

• Cowboys Offense:
  • Poor recent performance, possible injuries in offensive line.
  • Struggles against Redskins' pressure-heavy defense.
• Redskins Offense:
  • Potential for bounce back with healthier squad.
  • Exploit Cowboys' weak secondary.
• Betting Insight: Redskins favored to cover large spread.
• Final Pick: Redskins -10, Under 45.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Giants

• Giants Offense:
  • Transition to Tommy DeVito; struggle expected against strong Buccaneers defense.
• Buccaneers Offense:
  • Mike Evans expected back, beneficial for Mayfield.
  • Exploit Giants' poor run defense.
• Betting Insight: Buccaneers favored heavily against inexperienced QB.
• Final Pick: Buccaneers -6, Over 40.

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins

• Dolphins Offense:
  • Tua Tagovailoa provides stability; Patriots improving against run.
• Patriots Offense:
  • Drake Maye's mobility an advantage; Dolphins weak against tight ends.
• Betting Insight: Patriots improving, Dolphins might lack focus.
• Final Pick: Patriots +7.5, Over 45.5.

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans

• Texans Offense:
  • C.J. Stroud needs to improve connection with receivers.
  • Struggle expected against Titans' run defense.
• Titans Offense:
  • Will Levis poor against blitz-heavy defenses like Texans.
  • Possible reliance on run game with Pollard.
• Betting Insight: Texans expected to win comfortably.
• Final Pick: Texans -7.5, Under 40.5.

General Trends and Historical Notes

• Betting Trends: Steelers struggle as road favorites after a win under Tomlin.
• Historical Performance: Chiefs struggle to cover large spreads after a loss.
• Player Props: Notable bets on Nick Chubb, Bryan Robinson, Hunter Henry.

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