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Week 5 day 2 - 05 hourly

Aug 24, 2025

Summary

  • The call focused on advanced trading strategies, specifically the use of 05 boxes, DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) techniques, and risk management within various hourly trading setups.
  • Key concepts discussed included how to use reversal data, structure DCA into winning and losing positions, and practical examples of entry, exit, and position sizing.
  • Participants were tasked with an exercise to backtest the 05 box breakout strategy for different hours and risk settings, preparing for a deeper dive in the next session.
  • Emphasis was placed on developing independent thinking and robust personal trading plans.

Action Items

  • Tomorrow – All participants: Review and backtest 05 box breakout strategies using provided indicators, test different hours, stops, and TP percentiles, and compile results for discussion.
  • All participants: Prepare to discuss which variables and filters produced the most consistent results over 30 days, 90 days, and 365 days for your chosen hour.
  • All participants: Begin developing individualized business plans based on backtest data and personal risk preferences.
  • Session leader: Share 05 box strategy tester and indicator setup with participants (as promised).
  • Session leader: Prepare to cover advanced risk management, compounding, and strategy scaling in the final session.

05 Boxes and Breakout Strategy

  • Explained that 05 boxes segment each trading hour into high/low zones, providing a fixed constant for systematic entries and exits.
  • Demonstrated how first and last five minutes of each hour statistically often set highs and lows, with trades structured around these time edges.
  • Emphasized importance of backtesting the breakout strategy for each hour, focusing on risk settings (stop/TP by percentiles or points) and using statistical win rates as filters.
  • Participants were shown how to use data to determine the best hours and setups, noting that not all hours are equally profitable.
  • Stressed that position sizing should be consistent and based on data, not arbitrary box sizes, to control portfolio volatility.

DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) Techniques

  • Outlined two DCA approaches: adding to winning positions at predefined statistical reversal points, and DCA out of losing positions to manage risk and work toward breakeven.
  • Highlighted that all trade adjustments must be backed by historical data, such as mean reversion probabilities and major reversal zones.
  • Provided detailed walkthroughs using reversal data for specific trading windows (e.g., 1930–2030 ranges, midnight retracements) and how to structure entries, scaling, and exits.
  • Stressed the significance of using both price and time-based reversal data for trade management.

Risk and Position Management

  • Discussed why risk per trade must be handled carefully (typically 2–5%), especially for live accounts compared to prop firm trading.
  • Detailed the importance of position sizing based on fixed account milestones to reduce 14-day risk-of-ruin and avoid compounding losses during drawdowns.
  • Demonstrated how to analyze strategy performance across different timeframes (monthly, quarterly, annually) and the importance of switching systems or adjusting risk dynamically.

Developing Independent Trading Plans

  • Reinforced that the boot camp’s purpose is to create independent traders able to design and manage their own business plans, not to foster dependence on signals or paid groups.
  • Participants are encouraged to use intellectual curiosity, test variables independently, and document what works for their trading style and risk tolerance.
  • The session leader will transition from directive teaching to mentorship/counselor mode, guiding participants toward robust, personalized strategies.

Decisions

  • Participants will backtest and select their own optimal hour and filter combinations for the 05 box breakout strategy — to ensure independent application and adjustment based on consistent, data-driven results.

Open Questions / Follow-Ups

  • Are all participants able to access and configure the 05 box strategy tester/indicator for their analysis?
  • Does anyone need further clarification on risk parameters or compiling results (win rates, profit factors) for the next session?
  • Are there specific hourly setups that anyone is struggling to understand or backtest?