Determinants of Investment
Investment is a critical component of aggregate demand (AD). Changes in investment can shift AD:
- Increase in Investment: Shifts AD right
- Decrease in Investment: Shifts AD left
In economics, investment refers to firms spending money on capital goods to boost productive capacity.
Factors Influencing Investment
Interest Rates
- Borrowing: Firms may borrow money to finance investment.
- Low Interest Rates: Lower cost of borrowing → higher incentive to invest → AD shifts right
- High Interest Rates: Higher cost of borrowing → lower incentive to invest → AD shifts left
- Retained Profits: Using profits retained by the firm for investment.
- Hurdle Rate: Required rate of return for investment projects to proceed.
- Lower interest rates make it easier to meet the hurdle rate which increases investment.
Business Confidence
- Determined by:
- Expectation of Future Profit
- Expectation of Future Demand
- High Business Confidence: Increases marginal propensity to invest.
- Low Business Confidence: Decreases marginal propensity to invest.
Corporation Tax
- Retained Profit: Profit after corporation tax.
- Lower Corporation Tax: Higher retained profits → increased potential for investment.
- Higher Corporation Tax: Lower retained profits → decreased potential for investment.
Spare Capacity
- High Spare Capacity: Less need to invest as existing capacity can meet demand.
- Low Spare Capacity: Higher incentive to invest to increase capacity.
Level of Competition
- High Competition: Firms more likely to invest to overcome competitors.
Price of Capital Machinery
- Lower Price of Capital: Reduces cost of investment → higher propensity to invest.
Accelerator Effect
- When the rate of real GDP in the economy is increasing, it encourages more investment.
- This furthers economic growth and can create a positive feedback loop.
Conclusion
Understanding these determinants is crucial for predicting changes in investment and aggregate demand. Stay tuned for the next session where we will discuss government spending.