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Scalping Strategy Overview

Aug 14, 2025

Summary

  • The meeting detailed a straightforward, three-step scalping strategy that has been extensively backtested and shown to be consistently profitable when executed with discipline.
  • The strategy involves marking two key levels at market open, identifying one of three specific trade entries, and applying a simple risk management framework.
  • Results from multiple recent days and an 18-trade backtest were reviewed, showing a 66% win rate and robust profitability.
  • Discussion also addressed common psychological challenges traders face and directed attendees to additional resources on execution and consistency.

Action Items

(None were explicitly assigned in the transcript.)

Three-Step Scalping Strategy Overview

Step 1: Marking Key Levels

  • At 9:30 a.m. EST (market open), on the 5-minute chart, mark the high and low of the first candle.
  • These two levels define the trading range for the session; accurate marking is critical for success.

Step 2: Trade Entry Setups (on the 1-Minute Chart)

  • After marking the levels, switch to the 1-minute chart to look for entry opportunities.
  • Three entry setups:
    1. Break: A third consecutive candle closes outside the marked range, forming a fair value gap (gap between candle wicks), signaling strong market momentum.
    2. Trap: After a close outside the range (with or without a fair value gap), wait for a retest into the original range, then enter when the price closes back outside the range.
    3. Reversal: If the market attempts a breakout but quickly forms a fair value gap back into the original range, indicating a failed move, enter in the opposite direction (often leads to a strong reversal).

Step 3: Trade Management

  • Always use a fixed 2:1 risk-to-reward ratio for all trades.
  • Stop Loss placement:
    • For Break and Trap: Set at the low (for long trades) or high (for short trades) of the first candle that closed outside the range.
    • For Reversal: Set at the low/high of the first candle in the fair value gap sequence.
  • Take Profit: Set at twice the risk amount from entry; do not over-complicate exits.
  • Emphasize letting the strategy handle decision-making for consistency and mechanical execution.

Strategy Results and Performance

  • Three consecutive daily examples (August 4-6) demonstrated swift and significant profits, using one NASDAQ contract per trade.
  • In an 18-trade backtest over nearly a full trading month:
    • $7,800 profit, $1,200 maximum drawdown.
    • 66% win rate (12 wins out of 18 trades).
    • Low risk of large losses; suitable for prop firm accounts.

Psychological Challenges and Next Steps

  • The main challenge for traders is not the setup, but disciplined and fearless execution, especially after past failures.
  • Additional resources were shared for overcoming hesitation and developing confidence in sticking to a single trading strategy.

Decisions

  • No changes to the core three-step strategy — The simplicity and consistency of the approach are maintained; attendees are encouraged to execute the setup exactly as taught.

Open Questions / Follow-Ups

  • No outstanding questions or follow-ups were documented in this transcript.