Lecture on Conditional Probability Basics

Sep 8, 2024

Lecture on Conditional Probability

Details

  • Presenter: Dr. Gajend Pravita
  • Topic: Conditional Probability
  • Target Audience: B.Sc., Engineering students, and exam-preparing students

Conditional Probability

  • Definition:
    • Probability of event B given that event A has already occurred.
    • It is denoted as: P(A|B)
  • Formula:
    • P(A|B) = P(A ∩ B) / P(B)
    • If A and B are independent, then P(A ∩ B) = P(A) * P(B)

Multiplication Theorem

  • If events A and B are independent:
    • P(A|B) = P(A)
  • If events are dependent:
    • P(A|B) = P(A ∩ B) / P(B)

Examples

Example 1: Dice

  • When a die is rolled:
    • A = getting an odd number
    • B = getting a prime number
  • Question: Find the probability of getting a prime number if an odd number appears.
    • Solution: P(A ∩ B) / P(B)

Example 2: Bat and Good Tube

  • Extracting applications from two tubes
    • A and B: both are good
  • Question: Find the probability that the other is good given one is extracted.

Example on Student Failure

  • 20% students failed in English
  • 15% students failed in Math
  • 10% students failed in both
  • Question: Find the probability that a student who failed in Math also failed in English.

Example of Drawing Balls

  • 10 white and 5 black balls
  • Drawing balls without replacement
  • Find the probability that both are white.

Example Related to Cards

  • Pack of 52 cards
  • Question: Find the probability of drawing a red queen first and then a black king.

Conclusion

  • Discussed Conditional Probability, Multiplication Theorem, and student failures.
  • For more information, students can download the Maths Care App and join the Telegram group.

Contact Information

  • For CSIR, NET, GATE, CUTPG exam preparation, contact for information.