Tesla Earnings Highlights and Future Prospects

Feb 2, 2025

Tesla Q4 and Full Year 2024 Earnings Overview

Key Highlights

  • Record Deliveries and Demand

    • Q4 vehicle deliveries: 495,570 (2% YoY increase).
    • Full-year 2024 total deliveries: 1.79 million vehicles.
    • Model Y: Best-selling vehicle worldwide.
  • Energy Business Surge

    • Energy revenue: $3.06 billion in Q4 (113% YoY increase).
    • Energy storage deployed: 11 GW in Q4 (244% YoY increase).
    • Shanghai megafactory complete, signaling future expansion.
  • Strong Financials

    • Cash reserves: $36.6 billion by end of 2024.
    • Free cash flow: $2 billion in Q4.
  • AI and Autonomy Developments

    • AI training compute expanded by 400%.
    • 3 billion miles driven on full self-driving (FSD) supervised by January 2025.
    • Version 13 of FSD showing major improvements.

Challenges

  • Automotive Revenue and Margins
    • 8% YoY decline in automotive revenue due to price cuts.
    • Operating margin: 6.2% (decreased profitability per car).
    • EV competition and high interest rates as additional pressures.

Future Catalysts

  • New Model Y Rebuild

    • Enhanced suspension, upgraded interior, improved safety features.
  • Tesla Semi Program

    • Factory in Nevada for mass production starting late 2025.
    • Cost saving incentives and government regulations favoring EVs.
  • Shanghai Mega Factory

    • Focus on mass production of Tesla's Mega Pack for grid-scale energy storage.
  • Cortex 50K GPU Cluster

    • Located at Gigafactory Texas, enhancing FSD development.

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