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Bitcoin Super Cycle and Price Analysis

Jan 17, 2025

Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Price Analysis

Introduction

  • Presenter discusses a significant chart for Bitcoin and cryptocurrency prices.
  • Claims the chart presents insights different from common expectations.
  • Highlights personal trades and future plans based on findings.

Key Points from the Presentation

Chart Analysis

  • Resistance and Support Levels:

    • Bitcoin price on monthly candles fluctuates between resistance and support.
    • Resistance signifies end of a bull market; support signifies end of a bear market.
    • Current trend shows Bitcoin approaching resistance.
    • Historical resistance levels between $108,000 and $125,000.
  • Potential for a Super Cycle:

    • Once resistance is broken, potential for a 'super cycle' exists.
    • Super cycle implies breaking past patterns and significantly higher prices.
    • Presenter believes resistance will eventually be broken, leading to a seven-digit valuation.

Personal Trades

  • Discusses multiple trades with high profits:
    • XRP, SUI, TRON, Bitcoin, Ethereum.
    • Emphasizes the importance of Bitcoin's market movements on trade decisions.

MVRV Analysis

  • Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio:
    • MVRV shows lower highs each cycle.
    • Current MVRV hitting resistance.
    • Prediction of a bull market ending unless a super cycle occurs.

Implications and Predictions

  • Super Cycle Speculation:
    • Requires a monthly closing candle above $120,000-$125,000 for confirmation.
    • Suggests significant price increase (e.g., 5-6x) following confirmation.

Long-term Holding Strategy

  • Presenter holds Bitcoin long-term to capitalize on potential super cycle.
  • Encourages not missing out when the super cycle moment happens.

Conclusion

  • Reiterates belief in eventual super cycle based on economic trends and fiat currency decline.
  • Invites audience to discuss timing of the super cycle (current or future cycles).
  • Ends with an invitation to follow more updates on upcoming episodes.