Evaluating Business Opportunities Effectively

Mar 6, 2025

Lecture Notes: Evaluating Entrepreneurial Opportunities

Speaker: Dr. Adam Jay

Key Theme

  • Understanding what makes entrepreneurial opportunities attractive.

Key Quote

  • "Make what you can sell, don't just try to sell what you can make." - Jose Astable
    • Lesson: Identify what people want to buy, then make that.

Evaluating Opportunities

  • Two key questions:
    1. Is there customer demand?
    2. Can you generate profits?
  • Two approaches:
    1. Predictive / Forecasting
      • Evaluate the context using research to predict success.
    2. Learning-based / Experimentation
      • Conduct experiments to adjust and improve outcomes.

Market Research

  • Tool Recommendation: Google Trends
    • Helps identify popular search trends, indicating market interest.
  • Example: Deciding between ramen noodles, soba noodles, or pho noodles for a new restaurant.
    • Analyze trends in a specific location, e.g., United States, then more specific areas like Texas.

Lean Startup Framework

  • Concept: Build-Measure-Learn
    • Create a minimum viable product (MVP), gather feedback, and iterate based on customer input.
  • Key Idea: Accept that your initial idea may be wrong, and be ready to pivot.
  • Visualization: Start with a basic version of your product (e.g., a plain donut) and iterate towards customer preferences (e.g., chocolate donut with sprinkles).
  • Failure: View failure as a learning opportunity.

Prototyping and Testing

  • Example Activity: Design experiments to test customer demand for a product like a noodle restaurant.
    • Goal: Find cheap, quick ways to present your product to potential customers.

Case Study: Tesla

  • Method: Pre-launch products with events and pre-order systems.
  • Example: Cybertruck launch learned about product durability.
  • Lesson: Use customer interaction to guide product development.

Conclusion

  • Understanding and leveraging customer demand is crucial.
  • Next focus: understanding profitability of opportunities.