As a day trader, our main focus should be to stay alive in this game as long as possible. And the only way we can stay alive is by having a proper risk management strategy. Now, a lot of traders, when they get started or that are trading, they focus on what strategies they should focus on, how they should approach the market, how they should chart and all these other great things.
And while these things are great. They're not enough to keep you alive. The only way you'll be able to stay alive and be able to put on more trades is by having capital. And our job is to protect that capital, protected day in and out, trade by trade.
And in order to do that, we need to have a well-defined plan, a well-defined risk management plan that helps us avoid taking too much risk and helps us avoid having too much exposure in trades. And in this video, I wanna talk about my risk management plan, how you guys can build a risk management plan. I'm going to talk about position sizing, and I'm going to talk about R multiple. I'm talking about things that most traders don't like.
That isn't amazing. That isn't a shiny object, but this is important, guys. So please stay through the whole video, take down notes, pay attention to the important parts, and understand that if you want to make it here, you have to have a good risk management plan. So let's talk about the first component of my risk management plan, which is every trade I take, I have an idea on how much I'm losing and where I am exiting. So once again, before I take a trade, guys, any single trade, I know where the trade needs to go for me to be wrong and how much I will lose if I'm wrong.
Now, most traders, when they take a trade, they go, well, if I buy this trade at $10. and it goes to 15, I will make $5 or I'll make $50 or I'll make $5,000. And traders get in this fantasy land of what they will make.
Now on a professional level, if you want to be here in a long period of time, you need to flip that. You need to go, well, if I take this trade and let's just say for example purposes, this is $10 and this is $12. And once again, just something basic, let's just go in like the basic of support resistance, right?
And I'm like, well, I want to go long in this particular trade. the first question I ask, okay, well, where does this trade need to go for me to be wrong, right? That's where I will be placing my stop.
So if I go long here, this trade maybe needs to go to $9. Just going to make it around number for argument's sake. That means if I am wrong and I buy a 10, I will lose $1, right?
Now that is the first step I take before any trade. Of course, I have a strategy. Of course, I have setups. I have a...
focus point on how I think the market will or should move, whatever the case is. But when I get there, I have to protect my downside. And protecting my downside allows me to look at, should I take this trade?
Does this trade make sense from a risk perspective? If a trade doesn't make sense in terms of a risk perspective, I won't take the trade, right? So to just go to another example, would you risk $100 to make $1? Now, of course, the $1 is not guaranteed.
You have a 50% chance. that you will make $1 or 50% chance you will make 100. You most likely will not risk the 100 to make the $1 because it just doesn't make sense. But now what if I said, would you risk $100 to make $1,000 and you maybe have a 55% chance of being right for argument's sake, right?
Now you'll maybe take the trade. So these two numbers have to make sense of like what you're risking and what your reward is. So when I look at a trade, my first component of, okay, if there's a setup, great. But the setup is not what makes me take the trade.
The setup is what kind of ignites me to look at the trade and be interested. The risk component is what attracts me, right? So if I look at this trade from a risk component, I will realize that, okay, I'm risking $1, okay?
And also it's not just random. Like I can't just say, well, I'm gonna buy this at 10 and I'm gonna risk, you know, $1 or $2 because that's what I wanna risk on the trade. No, my stop loss.
where the trade has to go. And if it goes wrong, it has to make sense. So if I take the same example for argument's sake, let's just say this trade is now at $12.
If it's at $12 and I'm like, well, I want to risk a dollar. And let's just say the dollar is at 11 for argument's sake. I'm still risking $1 on this trade, but if it goes to 11, that doesn't mean I'm wrong.
The trade could still be in play. So that's what I'm saying by the trade needs to prove that you're wrong. Okay. So just to go back to this example, now, when I am looking at this particular trade, once again, I'm risking a dollar. I have to look at the second factor is does this trade have room to go up?
So for basic examples, basic argument, once again, if I'm buying this at 10 and this does go to 12, I'm basically making $2. If I'm right and if I'm wrong, I'm essentially risking $1. So in that trade, my potential R is two to one. I'm risking about a dollar to potentially make two. So that's how I look at trades from a risk perspective whenever I take a trade.
Now, how much do I risk? That is all contingent on my account size. How much I risk will be different than how much you risk.
How much the guy next to you or the girl next to you risks will be different than everyone because that is contingent. on your account size. So if your account size is, let's say a thousand, I always say go off the one or 2% rule. And also keep in mind, this is if you're a beginner, this is if you have not found profitability in your trading. If that's the case, risk one to 2% of your account size.
Now, if I risk 1% right of a thousand dollars at that point, that is what my risk component should be. So if I look at this particular trade, let's just say 1% is $10. That means I'm allowed to risk $10 on this trade. Now, in retrospect, if I'm risking $10 on this trade, that doesn't mean I only put $10 into the trade.
That means because I'm risking $10 on this trade, I can only buy a certain amount of shares or contracts or whatever the case is to only lose $10. I'll show you guys. So if you're buying this at 10, you're buying this stock at 10, and your stop loss is at nine, That means you are risking $1, right?
Now, if you are risking $1 and I can only lose $10 per my account size, the most I should be able to buy is 10 shares or 10 contracts. And 10 contracts or 10 shares are essentially going to be $100 in costs. So I'm paying $100, I am risking $1 and I have 10 shares.
That means if I buy 10 shares here at 10 and those 10 shares go to nine, I will only lose $10. That is what I mean by position sizing. That is what I mean by you need to look at your account size.
Now, obviously, when you get to a more consistent level, your risk will be altered. There are trades for me personally that I increase my size, increase my risk, depending on the day setups, depending on the market conditions, right? So my risk is not consistent day in and out, week in and out. It has gotten to a point where if I have a high quality setup.
I will be more aggressive on risk. If I have been trading well and I have a strong bankroll, meaning a strong amount of capital behind me of profits that I can actually risk in the markets and it makes sense, I will be harder and I will double down on risk. But that is also because I have been profitable for a very long period of time. Now, if I go back to the beginning days, I would keep my risk consistent until I find profitability and then I would look to alter size.
So you also have to understand what stage you are in. Okay. Another thing I want to talk about really quick is working capital, right? Meaning capital invested into a trade and risk, right?
So I see a lot of traders, they will see that I've taken a position where I've put a hundred thousand dollars in and they're like, well, because he put a hundred thousand dollars in, he's risking a hundred thousand. No guys, just because someone invested a hundred thousand doesn't mean he or she's risking that. And that's not what you should do because as traders, we need to have a stop or where this trade goes, we will be wrong.
We need to factor in what that loss will be, right? So for example, if I buy a trade that is at $10, once again, same concept, and I put my stop at nine, if it goes to nine, I lose a dollar, right? And let's just say I can buy 100 shares.
If I buy 100 shares at 10, that's $1,000 US. That's how much this trade is costing me. This is how much capital is required for me to put into this trade, $1,000. But because I bought 100 shares or 100 contracts or whatever, I'm not going to put in 100 shares. right?
And my stop is at nine. I'm risking $1. So $1 multiplied by my share amount, which is a hundred.
I'm only risking a hundred dollars. I'm not risking a thousand. Me risking a thousand is if I don't hit my stop and this trade goes all the way down to zero.
So I just wanted to make that clear because a lot of people have a misconception about that. So that's the first component of position sizing, placing your stops. and taking from those are multiple.
So one main thing that everyone should focus on is something called R. So this is something that I focus on a lot. I always say, guys, don't look at the final number of my trades. Look at what I risked to make that trade or make that amount. Right.
So if you see me make $30,000 or you see anyone make 30 grand, right? The first question is what did this person risk? If I risked 30,000.
To make 30,000, I have a one R trade. Now, this looks great as a final number, but does it really make sense for me to have 30,000? Does it make sense for me to... view this trade as great, opposed to, let's just say I made $5,000, but I risked $1,000 to make that five grand.
Now this trade, which is a five R trade is a much, much better trade than anything else. So that's why it's really important to understand what you're risking on trades, right? So I'll show you guys some examples.
So here, uh, we're going to look at my trade Zella really quick. Let's say I go to this trade. You can see that I made 25 grand on this particular trade. Right now, this number sounds great.
It's phenomenal. But the main thing that we need to understand is, OK, well, what was the R on this particular trade? Right.
It was 2.62 R. How did we get to that number? Let's take a look at that really quick. Right.
So when we look at the R number, right, we are able to understand that based on my stop, based on where this trade had to go for me to be wrong, this particular trade, you know, yes, 25,000 is the number, but based on my stop, which was at $1.20, I was risking $9,600. So I risked $9,600 to make $25,000, where my outcome, once again, was $25K, risked $9,600, and I ended up making a little over a 2.6R. I made 2.6 times my risk amount.
That is the main thing we as traders need to care about. There's nothing else that matters besides that. So if I go to some other trades and I go, let's say here, 2.21R.
I go to some other trades, 2.43R. I go here, 3.6R. Some trades are great, some trades are not great.
So if I go to this particular trade, I made 0.29R. So I risked $562, but I made $162. So this trade looks great. It's like, wow, he made $162.
And I'm like, yeah, that's... a green trade that someone may check off and say, well, this is a great trade. But when I go into the logistics of the trade, based on where my stop was, based on if this trade went through, I would have been wrong. I was risking $500 to make $106,000.
Guys, think about it. Long-term wise, that is not sustainable because how many times do I have to be right to be able to continuously being profitable, right? So having an R multiple that doesn't make sense or is way off. is just not going to allow you to be profitable, even if you have some trades that are profitable, right? So to go back to R, how is R calculated and what that is and how we can calculate it is the following way.
What I do for R is every time I take a trade, let's say we go back to the 10 example, trades at 10, I put my stop at nine. Okay. So because my stop is at nine, I will look at the trade outcome.
So I take a trade. I know I'm buying this trade at 10. I know my stop is a nine, meaning my risk on this trade is $1. Right? So because my risk is $1, I look at the trade outcome. Now, if the trade outcome is $11 and I profit $1, I just divide the one by one, which I was showing you guys in TradeZilla.
My R multiple is one R. I made one times my risk. If I end up selling this at 12, because I made $2 in the trade and I risked one, my R is two R.
If I end up going to 13, I risked $1 to make three. So that's three R. So that's how it works on the upside.
And that's how we need to calculate it, right? Now on the flip side, how R multiple works is the following, right? So when you have a red trade, how does it work?
So it's the same exact concept. You buy a 10, you put a stop at nine. Now, if you sell at nine, because you plan to lose a dollar and you lost a dollar, your R is negative one R. But there are instances where your R And people have asked me, Umar, your R is not a negative one. It's a negative three or a negative something.
So when you go to this day, right? My R is negative 3.6. That's where it gets interesting, right? Now to go into this trade, my stop on this trade was $1.50, okay?
And I didn't hit my stop on this particular trade. So what happens when we have trades like this? is we start going, well, this is what I'm risking based on my stop, but this is what I lost. So this happens if you don't follow your stop.
So if you see your R ends up being more than negative one R consistently, that means you're not following your stop. You're not executing at that number that you originally planned. So I have a negative 3.62 R. I lost 3.62 times. what I actually lost in the particular trade, which is a big red flag.
So in this particular trade that I was talking about, again, right, we go at 10, stop at 9, right? If I don't sell at 9, my stop, which was my predetermined stop, losing $1. right? And this goes to seven and I sell at seven. Now I lost $3 risking a dollar.
So my R is a negative three R, which is a big red flag. So that's why I look at R a lot, because when I look at R from a risk management point of view, I'm able to identify, you know, am I following my stop? Am I making the most on my trades?
It also helps me look at my trades from an actual trading point of view and not a PNL point of view, right? Because I'd rather have 10 trades. where I have more than a 2R return, then have 10 trades where I made $20,000, but the return was 0.5R, right?
Because think about this, guys. In trading, we are not always going to be right. It's just a given. Like, you're gonna be wrong. You're gonna lose money.
And trading is a probability game, right? So if you have an average of, let's say, 3R, or even 2R, let's just say 2R or 3R, if you have a 2R, that means you're making two times what you're risking. If you're right five times out of 10 times, which is 50% of times, and you have a 2R, you're going to be profitable on a 50% win ratio. Now, if your win ratio is even 40%, you will still essentially be profitable because you have a good R multiple. You are making more than what you're risking.
And that kind of changes the concept where traders think you need to be right all the time. You don't need to be right all the time. You just have to be able to focus on your R. multiple. So that's where R is beautiful, right?
Because it allows you to look at your trades from a better point of view. And it also allows you to stay profitable by being right less, right? And if you can achieve this to get to a higher number, it allows you to make more money. It allows you to stay in the game longer. A few words of advice that I want to leave to you guys, depending on what stage you're at, understand there's two stages, right?
One stage is a trader that's trying to find his or her way. They're trying to find profitability. And second is a trader that has found an edge, has found some profitability, but they're trying to scale up. I'm assuming most people are in stage A.
If you're in stage A, guys, keep your risk consistent, focus on R, don't increase your risk size, trying to find an edge. And your job here is to just stay alive. Just be able to take as many trades as you possibly can with the least amount of risk, least amount of exposure.
This is where you want to get practice in, where you want to test your strategies, test your setups, and just stay alive. Simple as that. If you're in stage B, this is where you have to be able to identify what trades require me to put on a little bit more size. How do I increase size when it's needed? How do I decrease size when markets get difficult?
How do I kind of become subjective to that, right? Moving on, if you follow me, if you're on my YouTube, I don't want you guys to have the mindset of, I made $2,000. I don't care.
You shouldn't care. What did this person risk? If you talk about a moving on, just wire yourself to be this way.
I made a 2.5 hour on a trade. That guy said he made 20,000. That lady said she made 15,000.
What did they risk? Where was their stop? Was their stop at a good point that proved they would be wrong? Why was their stop there? This is where we shift our mindset, right?
We start focusing on becoming better traders and then the money shows up automatically. We don't go into trades with, oh, I'm going to make this much if I'm right or when I'm right. No, go into every trade.
What is my downside? How much am I risking? And then when you If you are right on a trade, well, what did I risk to make this? Did it make sense? And there's a lot of times, guys, for myself, I've had days where I literally had a $30,000 or $40,000 day, and I go back to that trade, and I journal, and I recap, and I go, well, based on my stop and based on what I was going to risk on this trade, I was risking $20,000 to make $20,000?
That's not sustainable. Okay, well, that's not a good trade. Even though I made $20,000, it's not a good trade, right? And we have to be honest with ourselves with these type of things.
So I highly recommend go back, journal, right? Which is like the third point. Go back, journal all your trades.
Look at where your stops were. Look at if you were wrong, do those stops make sense? And if they do make sense, then look at the outcome of the trade. Well, if I was wrong in this trade, I would have lost 500, but I only made 200 on the trade. So I was risking 500 to make 200. Whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa.
This is not a good trade. This is a terrible trade, actually. Do that with all your trades and you'll start seeing patterns. right? Because I see traders, they come in, they have three or four weeks of profitability and they make a lot of money.
One week wipes it all out because they're on this three week journey or period where they're risking 500 to make 200. And then when that risk catches up to them, they lose it all. And then number three, guys, as I mentioned, when you get into trades, just look at every trade from a downside perspective. This is the best advice I can give you traders. Every trade you guys take, look at it. Well, if I take this trade.
the cost of the trade is $200. Meaning if I'm wrong, I will lose $200 and mentally accept that you're wrong. Every time I take on a trade, I'm like, okay, this trade based on where my stop is, based on where this trade goes, I will be wrong. Based on my position sizing, I am risking $4,000. I'm risking $10,000.
So the cost of this trade is $10,000. Because the cost is $10,000, does it also have room or potential to make me at least two times that? Can this trade that I'm risking $10,000 on, can this trade make me $20,000?
Can this make me a 2R? That mindset has helped me look at trading from a much better point of view. And it also has drastically improved my trading. on so many different levels.
So with that being said, I hope you guys incorporate these things and I want to see you guys make it in this game. And as I keep mentioning, protecting your downside is the most crucial thing. With that being said, thank you so much for watching everyone.