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Understanding Fair Value Gaps in Trading
Nov 19, 2024
Lecture Notes: Fair Value Gaps Part 2
Introduction
Apologies for the late video
Commitment to daily uploads despite lack of sleep
Topic: Fair Value Gaps Part 2
Recap: Fair Value Gaps
Definition:
Areas in the market with lack of liquidity, meaning no resting orders in the opposite direction of price movement.
Purpose:
Opportunity for market movement due to liquidity voids
Key Concept:
Price will draw into the fair value gap (liquidity void) and react.
Characteristics of Fair Value Gaps
Not for Reversals:
Used for retracements and continuations, not turning points.
Bullish Example:
In a market trending higher, look for bullish fair value gaps as retracement opportunities.
Identifying Fair Value Gaps
Three Candle Pattern:
First Candle:
Starting point
Second Candle:
Creates the imbalance (large movement without resistance)
Third Candle:
Completion of the pattern
Bullish Gaps:
Measure from the top wick of the first candle to the bottom wick of the third candle.
Bearish Gaps:
Measure from the bottom wick of the first candle to the top wick of the third candle.
Practical Application
Look for areas without wicks crossing into the gap zone, indicating no resistance.
Example Process:
Identify break of structure (bullish/bearish bias confirmation)
Wait for price to fill the gap and react (e.g., price chop and rally)
Execution Tips
Wait for Confirmation:
Do not execute trades purely on fair value gap filling; wait for reaction or lower timeframe confirmation.
Recognize Valid Gaps:
Not all perceived gaps are tradable; ensure they meet the criteria.
Example setup: After identifying a gap, wait for price action confirmation (e.g., bearish candle closing in a bullish gap for bearish continuation)
Homework Assignment
Task:
Identify ten fair value gaps on your chosen trading pair.
Create hypothetical trade plans using identified gaps
Understand why some are not valid gaps (e.g., wicks fill the gap)
Conclusion
Recap the importance of identifying accurate fair value gaps.
Reminder to differentiate between real and false gaps effectively.
Upcoming: Psychology Zoom discussion.
Final Notes
Importance of patience and correct identification in trading fair value gaps.
Expectation of further educational content and improved conditions for the next session.
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Full transcript