Understanding Fair Value Gaps in Trading

Nov 19, 2024

Lecture Notes: Fair Value Gaps Part 2

Introduction

  • Apologies for the late video
  • Commitment to daily uploads despite lack of sleep
  • Topic: Fair Value Gaps Part 2

Recap: Fair Value Gaps

  • Definition: Areas in the market with lack of liquidity, meaning no resting orders in the opposite direction of price movement.
  • Purpose: Opportunity for market movement due to liquidity voids
  • Key Concept: Price will draw into the fair value gap (liquidity void) and react.

Characteristics of Fair Value Gaps

  • Not for Reversals: Used for retracements and continuations, not turning points.
  • Bullish Example: In a market trending higher, look for bullish fair value gaps as retracement opportunities.

Identifying Fair Value Gaps

  • Three Candle Pattern:
    • First Candle: Starting point
    • Second Candle: Creates the imbalance (large movement without resistance)
    • Third Candle: Completion of the pattern
  • Bullish Gaps: Measure from the top wick of the first candle to the bottom wick of the third candle.
  • Bearish Gaps: Measure from the bottom wick of the first candle to the top wick of the third candle.

Practical Application

  • Look for areas without wicks crossing into the gap zone, indicating no resistance.
  • Example Process:
    • Identify break of structure (bullish/bearish bias confirmation)
    • Wait for price to fill the gap and react (e.g., price chop and rally)

Execution Tips

  • Wait for Confirmation: Do not execute trades purely on fair value gap filling; wait for reaction or lower timeframe confirmation.
  • Recognize Valid Gaps: Not all perceived gaps are tradable; ensure they meet the criteria.
  • Example setup: After identifying a gap, wait for price action confirmation (e.g., bearish candle closing in a bullish gap for bearish continuation)

Homework Assignment

  • Task: Identify ten fair value gaps on your chosen trading pair.
    • Create hypothetical trade plans using identified gaps
    • Understand why some are not valid gaps (e.g., wicks fill the gap)

Conclusion

  • Recap the importance of identifying accurate fair value gaps.
  • Reminder to differentiate between real and false gaps effectively.
  • Upcoming: Psychology Zoom discussion.

Final Notes

  • Importance of patience and correct identification in trading fair value gaps.
  • Expectation of further educational content and improved conditions for the next session.