Fires' Effects on L.A. Real Estate

Jan 16, 2025

Impact of Fires on L.A. Real Estate Market

Introduction

  • Speaker: Luxury realtor Josh Altman
  • Context: Discussion on the effects of recent fires on the L.A. real estate market

Immediate Impact on Real Estate

  • Increased Demand:
    • A thousand new renters and buyers entering the market
    • Surge in demand for immediate occupancy in turnkey properties
    • Demand for long-term leases (2-3 years) due to house rebuilding times
  • Shift in Housing Preferences:
    • Some homeowners choosing not to return to fire-affected areas like the Palisades
    • Selling land and seeking new homes instead

Market Activity at Altman Brothers

  • Increase in Listings: Typically $150 million/month; $150 million in the past 48 hours alone
  • Landlords' Response:
    • Putting houses on the market, often at premium prices assuming insurance coverage
    • New listings in areas like Brentwood, Santa Monica, Bel Air, Beverly Hills

Challenges and Regulations

  • Building Regulations:
    • Slow processes in California, especially with green rules and regulations
    • Average build time for homes: 3 years, including permits
    • Hillside builds take much longer (4-5 years; Malibu up to 7-8 years)
  • Insurance Issues:
    • High costs of fire insurance, often exceeding monthly mortgage
    • Difficulty in obtaining insurance, affecting property sales
    • Significant impact on prices in areas like Bel Air, Brentwood, Beverly Hills, Malibu

Conclusion

  • Ongoing challenges with rebuilding and insurance
  • Long-term implications for L.A. real estate market dynamics due to fire risks and regulatory hurdles

Note: For those investing or buying in these regions, expect longer timelines and higher insurance costs.