Balance of Payments

May 30, 2024

Lecture on Balance of Payments

Introduction

  • Balance of Payments (BoP): A record of all financial transactions made between consumers, businesses, and the government in one country with others.
  • Key Focus: Inflows and outflows of money into and out of a country.
  • For details on the current account, refer to an earlier video.

Recap of the Current Account

  • Components:
    • Trade in Goods and Services (Trade Balance)
    • Primary Income Balance (Investment Income)
    • Secondary Income (Transfers Balance)
  • Together, these give the total income balance.

Other Parts of the Balance of Payments

Capital Account

  • A very small part of the BoP.
  • Components:
    • Debt forgiveness: Recorded as a debit.
    • International inheritance taxes and death duties
    • Transfer of financial assets by migrants
    • Sales of tangible assets and non-produced assets (e.g., land)
    • Sales of non-financial assets (e.g., copyrights, patents)

Financial Account

  • Very important and substantial part of the BoP.
  • Often confused with what some exam boards call the 'capital account'.

Portfolio Investment

  • Buying and selling of financial assets:
    • Bonds (corporate and government)
    • Shares
    • Financial Market Derivatives (options and swaps)
  • Example: U.S. firms buying UK government bonds results in inflows (credit) recorded in the portfolio investment part of the financial account.

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)

  • Investing directly in production or business in another country.
  • Examples:
    • A German firm opening a factory in the UK (credit for the UK).
    • UK firms moving operations abroad (debit for the UK).

Reserves

  • Held in Currency or Gold.
  • Any changes in reserves are recorded here.

Maintaining Balance in the Long Run

  • Current Account Deficit: Indicates the country is buying more from the rest of the world than it is selling.
  • Financial Account Surplus: Balances a current account deficit to maintain overall balance.

Examples: USA and China

  • USA: Large current account deficit; balanced by a financial account surplus (e.g., foreign direct investments by countries with current account surpluses like China).
  • China: Large current account surplus; balanced by a financial account deficit (e.g., investing in US government bonds, shares, etc.).

Balancing Tool

  • Net Errors and Omissions: Ensures the BoP sums to zero if financial and capital accounts don't cover the deficit or surplus.

Conclusion

  • Current Account Deficits: Can’t be sustained in the long run without balancing actions in the financial account.
  • Next Topic: Consequences of financing a current account deficit by borrowing.