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4.3- Predicting Market Changes
Sep 13, 2024
Lecture Notes on Supply and Demand Shifts
Introduction
Focus: Predict changes in equilibrium prices and quantities when world conditions change.
Example: Tacos market with basic supply and demand curves.
Equilibrium: 100 tacos at $3.
Demand Shifts
Increase in Demand
Scenario
: Influx of students increases population.
Effect on Demand Curve
:
Shifts to the right.
More people willing to buy tacos at every price.
Effect on Market Equilibrium
:
Old price ($3) results in fewer tacos supplied than demanded.
Prices rise and quantity supplied increases.
New equilibrium: $3.50 and 120 tacos.
Decrease in Demand
Scenario
: Shift in preference to chicken fingers.
Effect on Demand Curve
:
Shifts to the left.
Effect on Market Equilibrium
:
Surplus of tacos (more supplied than demanded).
Price falls until equilibrium is reached.
New equilibrium: $2 and 60 tacos.
Supply Shifts
Increase in Supply
Scenario
: Price of flour falls.
Effect on Supply Curve
:
Shifts to the right.
Lower marginal cost of tacos.
Effect on Market Equilibrium
:
Surplus at old price.
Price falls, new equilibrium: $2 and 120 tacos.
Decrease in Supply
Scenario
: Wages increase.
Effect on Supply Curve
:
Shifts left.
Higher marginal cost of making tacos.
Effect on Market Equilibrium
:
Shortage at old price, increase in price, fall in quantity.
Key Takeaways
Avoid memorizing; understand underlying principles.
Demand increase = Price and quantity increase (ceteris paribus).
Demand decrease = Price and quantity decrease (ceteris paribus).
Supply increase = Price falls and quantity rises.
Supply decrease = Price rises and quantity falls.
Importance of textbook examples for understanding equilibrium shifts.
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