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4.3- Predicting Market Changes

Sep 13, 2024

Lecture Notes on Supply and Demand Shifts

Introduction

  • Focus: Predict changes in equilibrium prices and quantities when world conditions change.
  • Example: Tacos market with basic supply and demand curves.
    • Equilibrium: 100 tacos at $3.

Demand Shifts

Increase in Demand

  • Scenario: Influx of students increases population.
  • Effect on Demand Curve:
    • Shifts to the right.
    • More people willing to buy tacos at every price.
  • Effect on Market Equilibrium:
    • Old price ($3) results in fewer tacos supplied than demanded.
    • Prices rise and quantity supplied increases.
    • New equilibrium: $3.50 and 120 tacos.

Decrease in Demand

  • Scenario: Shift in preference to chicken fingers.
  • Effect on Demand Curve:
    • Shifts to the left.
  • Effect on Market Equilibrium:
    • Surplus of tacos (more supplied than demanded).
    • Price falls until equilibrium is reached.
    • New equilibrium: $2 and 60 tacos.

Supply Shifts

Increase in Supply

  • Scenario: Price of flour falls.
  • Effect on Supply Curve:
    • Shifts to the right.
    • Lower marginal cost of tacos.
  • Effect on Market Equilibrium:
    • Surplus at old price.
    • Price falls, new equilibrium: $2 and 120 tacos.

Decrease in Supply

  • Scenario: Wages increase.
  • Effect on Supply Curve:
    • Shifts left.
    • Higher marginal cost of making tacos.
  • Effect on Market Equilibrium:
    • Shortage at old price, increase in price, fall in quantity.

Key Takeaways

  • Avoid memorizing; understand underlying principles.
  • Demand increase = Price and quantity increase (ceteris paribus).
  • Demand decrease = Price and quantity decrease (ceteris paribus).
  • Supply increase = Price falls and quantity rises.
  • Supply decrease = Price rises and quantity falls.
  • Importance of textbook examples for understanding equilibrium shifts.