It is market Monday. Each and every Monday, I go over the biggest risers and fallers in average draft position in the best ball markets. I'll discuss whether I'm buying or selling these players at their new prices and why. As for playing best ball, I play most of my action on DraftKings. I personally think the format is the best out there for people like us who are really deep in the NFL and best ball streets. DK has the $20 large field tournament with 2 million to first as well as the smaller field $555 buyin with a million to first. For my high stakes friends, if you have not played yet, if you have not played baseball yet on DraftKings, you really should take advantage of their offer. Draft one, get one free ticket in the $20 buy in baseball millionaire. Enter a lineup in the $15 million best baseball contest for just $20 and you'll score another best baseball ticket to play free. Gambling problem. Call 1800 gambler in New York. Call 8778NY or text HOPENY at 467369 in Connecticut. Help is available for problem gambling. Call 8887897777 or visit ccpg.org. 18 plus in most eligible states, but age varies by jurisdiction. Eligibility restrictions apply. Voidware prohibited, one per customer. Enter the best ball headliner contest by 9425 to get one bonus entry. $20 entry fee required. Reward expires in 30 days. See the terms at draftkings.com/nfl--bball. Sponsored by DK. Going to start with the risers from the last seven days. Please note this is not an exhaustive list. There has been a ton of news and a ton of movement. Going to cover all of it with Silva on a rankings change show Tuesday night tomorrow. Today I want to start with Kyle Pitts. Kyle Pitts up 6.7 spots to 150 overall on DraftKings. He's actually up to 147 overall now. Another three spots since we pulled the data here on Kyle Pittz. Honestly, did not still think that Pitts could move up this much in a week. I thought the fantasy community had left Kyle Pittz for dead. Three straight very disappointing seasons. But we got three things going on here right now. First, Darnell Mooney hurt his shoulder and is going to be out for a few weeks, maybe most of camp. I'm not too worried about that, but it's worth noting Darnell Mooney projected for second most targets on the team. Going to miss most of camp. Second, we're getting the camp hype on Pitts. Teammates and coaches are saying how great Pitts has looked to start camp. one practice Kyle Pittz caught a bunch of passes and Michael Pennock said you guys see we got KP the ball gonna be a lot of that this season right and so people are going nuts with that stuff I'll personally think it's meaningless I'll get more on that in a second and third we have the hashtaggolf bro narrative Michael Pennix said he's been golfing with pits a bunch this off season and we all know how the golf bro stuff builds chemistry you get to the course at 7 a.m. You eat, you hit balls, you play the rounds, you get some beers. Next thing you know, seven, eight hours have gone by. You know, your wife took the kids and moved to Florida. So, all this is great. You know, I get it. None of the stuff that I just said for why Kyle Pittz is moving up answers the most important question to me is, is Kyle Pittz good enough to actually win at the NFL level? Yes, his rookie year was impressive. He also had a 62% catch rate that year. Pretty poor. you know, catch rate for his career is just 59%. I know he's been banged up, but there is very little that suggests he can win against NFL quarterbacks, NFL safeties, and the Falcons scheme across multiple staffs has not prioritized getting Kyle Pittz matched up onto linebackers. So, I've been out on Pitts. I have three and a half% exposure to him through 86 drafts. In terms of fees, just 0.8% 8% for me on Kyle Pittz. And by the way, you can use the free tool on the solver. It's called the best ball explorer to track all this stuff. Link to it is in the best ball tab in the ETR menu. Um, but anyways, I'm fine with that stance I currently have on Kyle Pitts. The only reason I'm slightly worried about the fade is just cost. You know, at pick 160, the bar to quote unquote hit is not that high, especially at tight end. Pitts obviously athletic enough to run into some big games. But look, there's just no way I'm chasing Kyle Pitts up the board here based on some good showings and padless practices in late July. I easily prefer Jake Ferguson, Dallas, Coloulston Lovelin, they all go around earlier. I think it's worth doing that. And then if I'm taking running back shots in that range on DK, which I typically am, you know, I'm talking about uh Ray Davis, Gerendo, Dylan Samson, uh Tutin, Trey Benson, Bsby, Alier types. I I'm more often taking those guys than tight end period. So, I'm fine passing on pits, pushing tight end because there's plenty of late tight ends available with real roles. Mike Cassiki, who I'll talk about uh later, but he goes 25 picks after pitts. So does Hunter Henry, Kate Dton, Chica Conquo, Jawan Johnson is like free. So Pitts, I have questions on both his ability to win and this new price for the tight end. How this new price fits the tight end landscape in drafts. Second riser, Kyle Williams, Patriots rookie, up 2.3 spots to 146 overall. Apparently, Kyle Williams made some big plays early in camp, was getting open a bunch, got beat writers to tweet about it, and so he's moving up. Steph Diggs is also up about six spots. That makes sense to me as he's proving his health off of the ACL tear. Roles in the Patriots wide receiver room appear to be getting set. They're going to play a ton of two tight end sets. Josh McDaniels offenses typically do that. In those two tight end, two wide receiver sets, expect it to be Stefan Diggs at Z and then one of Kai Williams, Keshan Booty, or M. Holland at X. In three wide receiver sets, Pop Douglas, Deary Douglas is going to be the slot man, which by the way has been a pretty productive role in Josh McDaniel's offenses. So on Kyle Williams, what is the what are the odds that he wins the X job cleanly? I think if we're taking the long view, the odds are pretty good. You know, Bouty is an old regime guy who never really impressed. M. Hollands can certainly eat up routes, but is a limited player. I know the tape bros really like Kyle Williams. I think by early middle of the season, it's a reasonable bet that he's playing a lot. We also have the Stefon Diggs injury risk. You know, Steph Diggs will be 32 in November coming off the ACL tear. So, but look, even if Williams does get there on routes, even if he does cleanly ice, Booty and M. Collins, Pop Douglas, Steph Diggs, Hunter Henry, Trayvon Henderson, there's some decent target earners in the mix here. So, I want to be sensitive on Kyle Williams price. And more macro speaking, I'm hopefully not targeting wide receiver in this range on DraftKings anyways. But if I am, I think I'd really rather wait one to two rounds and take Romeo Dobs or in the same range as Kyle Williams. I prefer Quinton Johnston, Maris Brown, Christian Kirk. Third riser is Taj Brooks. Taj Brooks up 3.3 spots to 217 overall. Vibes around Zack Moss are not good. Moss had that really bad neck injury last season and this year Bengals opened them up on the active NFI list to open camp. Most Bengals beat writers seem to think that Moss is an underdog to make the final 53 which means Cincinnati would roll with Chase Brown as the feature back, Sam Perine in a strict passing down kind of role and then Taj Brooks the round six rookie out of Texas Tech as the backup. I don't think Brooks will have any standalone value. And if Chase Brown got hurt, Brooks would likely share the workload with Perine. So, I do not take a ton of Taj Brooks. In terms of those round 19/20 running backs on DraftKings, I take Marshon Lloyd, Jarz Hunter, DJ Giddens, uh Woody Marks. I'll address the mix and stuff shortly and with Silva tomorrow, but Woody Marks, Bashard Smith a little bit. I I take those guys before Taj Brooks. I I did want to note though that we recently gave Chase Brown another workload boost, moving him up in the ranks. We're up to 23 overall right now on Chase Brown. Bengals appear extremely committed to Brown as the true workhorse. And if they don't keep Zack Moss and you're not optimistic on Taj Brooks, I mean, how can you not really love Chase Brown? Let's get to this week's ballers. First one is Joe Mixon. Joe Mixon down 6.7 spots to 65 overall and falling fast. Somewhat surprising news out of Houston over the weekend. Joe Mixon going to be out an extended period, likely all of camp/ preseason, with an ankle/foot injury. Uh Jane Slater reporting that Mixon injured his right foot ankle twice last year and this is the third injury to it. Note that he went on the NFI list. In other words, this was not a football injury. So, a lot of questions on what's going on with Mixon right now. At this point, I'm just out on him. We're talking about a 29year-old running back with over 2,000 NFL touches on his tires. He's always relied on extreme volume to get there in fantasy. Has the NFL's worst offensive line. Hopefully, you listen to the show with Thorne last week. And now we have this somewhat mysterious injury to one of his wheels. I mean, I know Mixon is going to get into the '9s eventually. For now, until we get more info, I'm just going to pass. Obviously, if the bet we want to make is extremely anti-Mixon, it's a good spot for both Nick Chub and Woody Marks. Or maybe the Texans will go get a back like Devin Singleary or someone else who gets cut later in camp. But I'm not forcing it on Nick Chub and Woody Marks. chub profiles better on touchdown heavy underdog. I'd still take him around on DK around 160 or so. Woody Marks is the one you can really steal. His ADP is still sitting at 217 overall on DraftKings. I would take some shots around 180 190. Note that the Texans didn't just take Woody Marks at 116 overall in the draft. They gave up the 179 pick in this year's draft plus a 2026 thirdrounder to go up and get Woody Marks. So clearly they liked him. Really interesting situation to watch though. Going to get Silva's take on that tomorrow. Second faller is Chris Godwin down 12.5 spots to 81 overall. Run out just has not been great for one of my favorite players of all time. Shout out Penn State. Chris Godwin. He was on pace for 121 catches, 139 yards, 12 touchdowns midway through last season. I mean, dude was just going nuts since then. He dislocated his ankle, had two surgeries, and by the way, the second of which was just reported and the reason for this sharp drop in ADP. Godwins also turned 29 years old. He lost Liam Cohen, and the Bucks drafted Acha Ibuka 19th overall. The weirdest part though is the Bucks knew about this ankle injury, presumably knew how the rehab was going, and still gave Chris Godwin 44 million guaranteed in free agency. and he reportedly had other suitors including the Patriots who were willing to pay him even more. So the Bucks at least or the Patriots whoever else are saying the ankle is not that big a deal. It's all part of the process. The Bucks continue to say that the second surgery is not that big a deal. I'm just growing more and more skeptical on the health front for Godwin. And then we add in Baker seemingly in love with Ibuka already. Ibuka probably best in the slot which is also where Godwin is best. Mike Evans is still there. Uh Jaylen McMillan is there. Kate Atten is there. Bucky and Rashad are good in the pass game. New offensive coordinator introduces some more variability. So I think this drop in ADP on Godwin is warranted. I would take him in the late 80s on DraftKings. He can be so popular and full uh so valuable in full PPR, but I have to understand the risk that I'm taking. I mean, we have Godwin and Ibuka very close in the rankings right now. Last faller, Mike Gassiki down 2.3 spots to 171 overall. Similar to Darius Sllayton and Jawan Johnson, seems like the Gassiki offseason contract has gone under the radar. Bengals did a three-year deal worth 25 million, 12 million guaranteed this off season. I know it's not a ton of money, but given all the Bengals issues on defense, how tight they are with money, they have to pay Burrow, Chase, T. Higgins. I thought it was a notable deal for Mike Cassiki. And by the way, Burr was out there caping for his tight end as well. Um, we know what Jasiki is, right? He's not physical enough to be a great tight end, but as we saw when T. Higgins missed time last year. Dude can really play in the pass game. Had a 91 yard game, 100 yard game, a 10 catch game just last year for a few really big spike weeks at the tight end position. And I think in reddraft, Gassiki would be a rough start unless one of T or Jamar Chase is out. But in baseball at this price of 171, like I mentioned in the pit stuff, you know, if Kyle Pitts is going to go 140 and Cassiki is going to go 171, the bar is just really low at 171. So I'm up at 15% on Gassiki right now and feel pretty decent about that in baseball. Thanks to everyone for listening. We are going to three shows a week from now until week one. So, if you have not yet subscribed to the Established Run podcast on audio or YouTube, be sure you do that by searching for it anywhere podcast are found. Also, be sure you're following me on Twitter for a ton more player takes, Adam Levitan, all one word. We're back later this week for two shows, ranking changes and news reactions with Silva and then later this week examining the fantasy quarterback landscape for this season with Leone and JJ Zachares. Four producer Ryan for the data side team helping me to track all these ADP moves. I am Adam. Good luck everybody.