Mechanical Trading Strategies

May 19, 2024

Mechanical Trading Strategies Lecture

Introduction

  • Recording: This lecture includes a face cam.
  • Topic: Mechanical trading strategies.

Why Mechanical Trading Strategies?

  • Definition: Adherence to a set of rigid rules in trading.
  • Types of Strategies:
    • Discretionary Trading: More opportunities, uses a framework of rules but not strictly adhered.
    • Mechanical Trading: Fully autonomous, rules strictly followed.
  • Presenter’s Preference: Autonomous strategies using AI for simplicity and better understanding.

Understanding Mechanical Trading

  • ICT Traders: Apply various methods like the Silver Bullet method.
  • Choosing Autonomous Route:
    • Step 1: Understand the knowledge (ICT/SMC concepts).
    • Step 2: Create a simple, concise strategy.

Creating a Strategy

  • Strategy Formation: Make it simple enough to be explained in a few lines.
  • Example: Presenter's 5-step strategy summarized on one sheet.
  • Importance of Simplicity: Easier to stick to and teach.

Back Testing

  • Not Just Simulation: Live back testing is crucial.
  • Software: FX Replay recommended (discount code available).
    • Proven track record with 80%+ win rates over 4 years of testing.
    • Focus on one currency pair for at least 2 years.

Improving Strategy

  • Initial Data Collection: Collect data through back testing.
  • Refinement: Stick to core steps, e.g., trend alignment.
  • Implement Adjustments: Continuous improvement through data.
  • Example: 60-70% win rate improved to 72% initially, then to 81% win rate.

Live Testing

  • Transition from Back Testing: Move to live markets with demo or low funds.
    • Examples: 5k, 10k, 50k accounts.

Key Takeaways

  • Mechanical Strategy Advantages: Make simpler decisions, stick to a proven plan.
  • Proof of Success: Presenter’s trades showing high reward-to-risk ratios and consistency.

Journaling Trades

  • Importance: Documenting trades helps in reviewing and improving.
  • Presenter’s Example: Clear explanation and documentation of all trades.

Conclusion

  • Final Tips:
    • Start small and grow your strategy as you gain confidence.
    • Mechanical strategies offer clear guidelines and can improve trading consistency.
    • Upcoming AI features and potential price changes for the strategy.
  • Call to Action: Links provided for more information, strategies, and joining groups.

End Note: Pricing for the strategy is soon to change with new AI features.