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Understanding Variance in Random Variables

Feb 18, 2025

Lecture Notes: Variance of a Random Variable

Overview

  • Topic: Variance of a random variable
  • Builds on previous concepts of sample variance and theoretical mean.
  • Focus on theoretical variance using a probability distribution.

Key Concepts

Different Formulas for Variance

  • Technical Formulas: Various formulas available for calculating variance.
  • Theorem in Textbook: Offers a preferred equation.
  • Personal Preference: Suggested one formula as easier, but encourages trying others.

Variance Representation

  • Graphical Representation:
    • Smaller variance shows mean with closer data points.
    • Larger variance shows mean with data points spread out.

Discrete vs. Continuous Data

  • Discrete Data: Probabilities in buckets, histogram style.
  • Continuous Data: Smooth curve in probability distribution.

Example Problems

Example 1: Discrete Data (Defective Parts)

  • Random Variable X: Number of defective parts in a sample.
  • Probability Distribution Provided: Values for X and F(X).
  • Formulas Used:
    • (\sigma^2 = \sum (X - \mu)^2 f(X))
    • Calculate mean (\mu) as expected value of X.
    • (\mu = 0.61)
    • Variance (\sigma^2 = 0.4979)
    • Standard Deviation (\sigma = 0.7056)

Example 2: Continuous Data (Water Demand)

  • Random Variable X: Weekly demand for drinking water.
  • Probability Density Function: (f(x) = 2(x-1)) from 1 to 2.
  • Integral Method Used:
    • Mean calculation using integral.
    • (\mu = \frac{5}{3})
    • (\sigma^2 = \frac{1}{18})

Example 3: Discrete Data (Function of X)

  • Function g(x): (g(x) = 2x + 3)
  • Probability Distribution Provided
  • Formulas Used:
    • Mean (\mu_{g(x)} = 6)
    • Variance of (g(x) = 4)_

Important Reminders

  • Always Square Mu in Variance Calculation: Common mistake to miss squaring.
  • Integrals Practice: Encouraged to practice integrals to improve problem-solving speed.
  • Choose Formula Based on Data Given: Different formulas might be more convenient depending on the data type.

Conclusion

  • Both discrete and continuous data have distinct methods for calculating variance.
  • Practice and familiarity with different formulas and integrals is crucial for efficiency.