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Trading Strategy and Market Analysis
Jun 30, 2024
Trading Strategy and Market Analysis
Personal Update
Speaker has been unwell, potentially due to blood sugar issues.
Symptoms include vision problems and dizziness.
Working on improving health.
NASDAQ Market Analysis
Market View & Strategy
Current preference for NASDAQ to trade down.
Safest side to buy is down, indicating a bearish outlook.
Focus is on selling below the midpoint and shorting targets towards morning lows.
Prefer an intermediate target at 760.
Trading Plan
Initial Draw
: Expecting the NASDAQ to go lower towards targets set at around 8:00 and 8:30 AM Eastern Time.
Stop Loss
: Placed at the high of the session.
Volume Imbalance
: Monitoring for entries around volume imbalance areas.
Rejection Block
: Key focus on the last up-closed candle (big bold green one) as a rejection block.
Specific Actions
Add short positions if the price stabs into the last up-closed candle again.
Annotated Volume Imbalance for visually marking weak points in Price Displacement Arrays (PD arrays).
Comfort in letting price move through volume imbalances for future re-targeting or stop-loss management.
Detailed Market Movements
Observation Points
Monitoring price movements around the 8:20 AM Eastern Time low.
Importance of inversion fair value gaps and expectation of resistance around identified highs and lows.
Annotated areas in charts using specific colors and rectangles to visualize fair value gaps and volume imbalances.
Use of Fibonacci settings to further dissect the fair value gap into quadrants: upper, midpoint (consequent encroachment), and lower.
Expected Movements
Predictive modeling on how the market should respond to rejection blocks and inversion fair value gaps for downward expansion.
Placing limit orders below specific benchmark levels for secure exits.
Watching for the algorithm to confirm the downward movement by accelerating through set targets.
Critical Commentary on Market Theories
Clarification that this method is distinct from the Quarters Theory, considered a gimmick.
Emphasis on the speaker's unique teaching approach not typically found in other sources.
Mentions of people imitating the speaker’s methodologies post-lecture/publication.
Final Insights
Focus on tight near-term targets with special attention to how price responds to recent down-closed candle bodies and Wicks.
Ultimate goal is hitting the intermediate-term target at 760, with an understanding that trading environments can always introduce variability.
Strong emphasis on personal methodology and precision in predicting market movements based on past experience.
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Full transcript