Trading Strategy and Market Analysis

Jun 30, 2024

Trading Strategy and Market Analysis

Personal Update

  • Speaker has been unwell, potentially due to blood sugar issues.
  • Symptoms include vision problems and dizziness.
  • Working on improving health.

NASDAQ Market Analysis

Market View & Strategy

  • Current preference for NASDAQ to trade down.
  • Safest side to buy is down, indicating a bearish outlook.
  • Focus is on selling below the midpoint and shorting targets towards morning lows.
  • Prefer an intermediate target at 760.

Trading Plan

  1. Initial Draw: Expecting the NASDAQ to go lower towards targets set at around 8:00 and 8:30 AM Eastern Time.
  2. Stop Loss: Placed at the high of the session.
  3. Volume Imbalance: Monitoring for entries around volume imbalance areas.
  4. Rejection Block: Key focus on the last up-closed candle (big bold green one) as a rejection block.

Specific Actions

  • Add short positions if the price stabs into the last up-closed candle again.
  • Annotated Volume Imbalance for visually marking weak points in Price Displacement Arrays (PD arrays).
  • Comfort in letting price move through volume imbalances for future re-targeting or stop-loss management.

Detailed Market Movements

Observation Points

  • Monitoring price movements around the 8:20 AM Eastern Time low.
  • Importance of inversion fair value gaps and expectation of resistance around identified highs and lows.
  • Annotated areas in charts using specific colors and rectangles to visualize fair value gaps and volume imbalances.
  • Use of Fibonacci settings to further dissect the fair value gap into quadrants: upper, midpoint (consequent encroachment), and lower.

Expected Movements

  • Predictive modeling on how the market should respond to rejection blocks and inversion fair value gaps for downward expansion.
  • Placing limit orders below specific benchmark levels for secure exits.
  • Watching for the algorithm to confirm the downward movement by accelerating through set targets.

Critical Commentary on Market Theories

  • Clarification that this method is distinct from the Quarters Theory, considered a gimmick.
  • Emphasis on the speaker's unique teaching approach not typically found in other sources.
  • Mentions of people imitating the speaker’s methodologies post-lecture/publication.

Final Insights

  • Focus on tight near-term targets with special attention to how price responds to recent down-closed candle bodies and Wicks.
  • Ultimate goal is hitting the intermediate-term target at 760, with an understanding that trading environments can always introduce variability.
  • Strong emphasis on personal methodology and precision in predicting market movements based on past experience.