Lecture on Daily Bias and Draw on Liquidity
Introduction
- Focus on daily bias and draw on liquidity
- Thanks to n9xm trader for teaching these concepts
- Use previous day high and low to frame draw on liquidity or daily bias
Using Previous Day High and Low
- If price isn't consolidating, it will likely take out the previous day high, low, or both
- Trend Analysis:
- Trending upwards: expect price to reach previous day high
- Trending downwards: expect price to reach previous day low
- Framing Reversals:
- If price reaches previous day high and reverses, it's a signal
- Similarly, if it reaches previous day low and reverses, take note
Examples
- Example 1:
- Previous day high taken, expecting higher movement
- If price cannot close over a previous high and falls back, check if previous day low gets taken
- Example 2:
- Reach and close below previous day low
- Expectation: if it closes outside range, reversal to previous day high anticipated
Weekly Highs and Lows
- Mark out previous week's high and low
- Can frame a reversal or draw on liquidity
Examples
- Example 1:
- Weekly range used to predict move to the other side of range
- Example 2:
- DXY daily chart: price action around weekly high and lows
Swing Points and Displacement
- Swing Points: high or low points that can signal reversal or continuation
- Failure to Displace:
- If price fails to displace over a swing high, bias downwards
- Similarly, if it fails to displace under a swing low, bias upwards
Next Day Model
- Use PD arrays or old highs/lows
- Expect price to move higher if it fails to displace below a low
- Expect price to move lower if it fails to displace above a high
Practical Chart Analysis
- DXY Example:
- Fair value gaps and how price draws towards them
- If price cannot displace below previous day low, expect a move to previous day high
Trade Examples Based on Bias
- London Session Trade:
- Example of marking out previous day highs and lows, then entering based on bias
- New York Session Trade:
- Demonstrates using next day model in real-time trade decision
Conclusion
- Key Takeaways:
- Use previous day/week highs and lows to determine liquidity draw
- Swing points and displacement are crucial for predicting movement
- Practical Application: Implementing these strategies can improve understanding of market trends and potential reversals
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Note:
To fully appreciate and understand these strategies, familiarization with market structure, fair value gaps, and other trading concepts is recommended.