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Understanding Daily Bias and Liquidity

Apr 1, 2025

Lecture on Daily Bias and Draw on Liquidity

Introduction

  • Focus on daily bias and draw on liquidity
  • Thanks to n9xm trader for teaching these concepts
  • Use previous day high and low to frame draw on liquidity or daily bias

Using Previous Day High and Low

  • If price isn't consolidating, it will likely take out the previous day high, low, or both
  • Trend Analysis:
    • Trending upwards: expect price to reach previous day high
    • Trending downwards: expect price to reach previous day low
  • Framing Reversals:
    • If price reaches previous day high and reverses, it's a signal
    • Similarly, if it reaches previous day low and reverses, take note

Examples

  • Example 1:
    • Previous day high taken, expecting higher movement
    • If price cannot close over a previous high and falls back, check if previous day low gets taken
  • Example 2:
    • Reach and close below previous day low
    • Expectation: if it closes outside range, reversal to previous day high anticipated

Weekly Highs and Lows

  • Mark out previous week's high and low
  • Can frame a reversal or draw on liquidity

Examples

  • Example 1:
    • Weekly range used to predict move to the other side of range
  • Example 2:
    • DXY daily chart: price action around weekly high and lows

Swing Points and Displacement

  • Swing Points: high or low points that can signal reversal or continuation
  • Failure to Displace:
    • If price fails to displace over a swing high, bias downwards
    • Similarly, if it fails to displace under a swing low, bias upwards

Next Day Model

  • Use PD arrays or old highs/lows
  • Expect price to move higher if it fails to displace below a low
  • Expect price to move lower if it fails to displace above a high

Practical Chart Analysis

  • DXY Example:
    • Fair value gaps and how price draws towards them
    • If price cannot displace below previous day low, expect a move to previous day high

Trade Examples Based on Bias

  • London Session Trade:
    • Example of marking out previous day highs and lows, then entering based on bias
  • New York Session Trade:
    • Demonstrates using next day model in real-time trade decision

Conclusion

  • Key Takeaways:
    • Use previous day/week highs and lows to determine liquidity draw
    • Swing points and displacement are crucial for predicting movement
  • Practical Application: Implementing these strategies can improve understanding of market trends and potential reversals
  • Encouragement to like, subscribe, and comment for more content

Note:

To fully appreciate and understand these strategies, familiarization with market structure, fair value gaps, and other trading concepts is recommended.