Market Overview & Strategy Adjustment - Order block

May 12, 2024

Trade Recap and Weekly Outlook Overview

Opening Drive Play Clarification

  • Focuses on higher time frames and clear trends for predicting gap-and-goes or gap fills.
  • 70% of the time, gaps will fill within a 48-hour period, especially in choppy or consolidating markets.
  • In a clear uptrend, gaps may remain unfilled, showing strong momentum.
  • Lately, due to market consolidation, the strategy leans towards expecting gap fills over unfilled gaps.

Weekly Trades Summary

  • AMD Puts Trade: Highlighted a successful trade based on order blocks and market momentum.
  • Nvidia Attempted Shorts: Less successful due to lacking follow-through and clear momentum.
  • Tesla Puts Trade: Unsuccessful, highlighting the challenges faced with changing market momentum and unexpected reversals.
  • General Strategy Notes: Discussed the importance of respecting higher time frames, market condition awareness (consolidating vs trending), and adaptability in trade strategies.

Order Blocks Lesson Recap

  • Emphasized the significance of understanding order blocks for identifying high-probability trade setups.
  • Discussed how to distinguish high probability order blocks based on confluences like key levels, fair value gaps, and liquidity.
  • Explained the difference between immediate retests (aggressive entries) and more established retest patterns.

Weekly Outlook Insights

  • Provided insights into market conditions, focusing on choppy markets leading to a preference for gap fills over gap-and-goes.
  • Specified how recent trading weeks demonstrated the need to adapt trading strategies to market conditions - from seeking liquidity to rebalancing price due to market consolidation.

Closing Thoughts

  • The session wrapped up with a reminder of the importance of adapting to market conditions, understanding the technical basis for trades, and continuing education through reviewing past trading sessions and weekly outlooks.