Invalidation of Fair Value Gaps and Trade Setups
Introduction
- Focus on invalidations of fair value gaps (FVGs).
- Discuss how invalidations can invalidate or validate trade ideas.
- Mention of a new concept similar to inverse FVG, but the lecturer does not fully support it.
- Overall, the lecture is built on practical examples and less on theoretical constructs.
Key Concepts
Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
- Definition: Areas where there is a price gap due to market imbalances.
- Formation is typically a signal for a potential trade.
Invalidation of FVGs
- Occurs when price closes above or below the FVG, nullifying it as a reliable trade entry point.
- Two key uses:
- Invalidation of trade ideas (closure above/below the FVG).
- Confluence for new trade setups.
Invalidation as Confluence
- If a bearish FVG is invalidated, this could serve as a bullish confluence.
- Can be used to either confirm an entry or support an existing trade idea.
- Inverse FVG is not a mainstream concept but can be seen as additional validation.
- Used to confirm that market conditions have shifted against the direction initially suggested by the FVG.
Practical Examples
Example 1
- Move Down Example
- Sweep of liquidity.
- Break of structure.
- Formation of a downward FVG.
- FVG gets invalidated by closure above it, indicating invalid trade setup.
Example 2
- Bullish Bias Example
- Sweep of hourly lows.
- Break of structure (bullish bias).
- Bearish FVG appears but gets invalidated, serving as a bullish confluence.
- Now, can use invalidated bearish FVG to support bullish trade idea.
- Place stops under the invalidated bearish FVG.
Counterexamples and Limitations
- Invalidated FVG alone is not enough; need additional confirmations like equilibrium, order blocks, and liquidity sweeps.
- Example given where bearish setup remains valid despite invalidation because other confluences support the bearish trend.
Additional Tips and Insights
- Combining Confluences: Always combine invalidated FVGs with other signals like liquidity sweeps and breaks of structure.
- Time Frames and Analysis: Look across different time frames (e.g., 1-minute, 5-minute, 15-minute) for stronger indications and confluences.
- Practical Experiences: Importance of real-time observation, including market sessions and adjustments based on confluences.
Summary
- Invalidations of FVGs offer a nuanced way to either nullify trade setups or support new ones through added confluences.
- Practical use in real-time trading sessions is vital for mastering the concepts.
- Balance between theoretical understanding and application in live markets crucial for effective trading.
Note: Extraneous elements like the lecturer's side comments or interruptions have been omitted as they do not pertain to the core lecture content.