Essentials to Trading the Daily Bias
Key Points
- Focus on teaching essentials required to trade the daily bias using the dollar index on a daily chart.
- This presentation does not guarantee daily predictions for daily bias; practice is necessary.
- Concepts apply broadly across different currency pairs.
Tools and Concepts Used
- Daily Chart: Used to ascertain if the day will likely close up or down.
- Intermediate and Short-term Highs and Lows: Key turning points used for support and resistance analysis.
- Support and Resistance Theory: Core concept when market is range-bound or not in a parabolic move.
- Classic Support/Resistance Levels: Identified by looking at the obvious swing points and turnings.
- Market Scenarios: Analyzed whether trending or range-bound.
Trading Strategies
Key Turning Points
- Short-term Swing Highs/Lows on Daily Chart: Identify points where price may reverse.
- Example: Breaking above an old high signals potential to reverse and trade lower, or vice versa for old lows.
Determining Bias
- When Market is Bullish: Focus on Previous Day’s High as Target.
- When Market is Bearish: Focus on Previous Day’s Low as Target.
Support/Resistance Challenges
- Determining which levels to use can be complex; rely on swing points.
- Observe how market responds to breaking swing highs/lows.
Reversal Patterns
- Outside Day: When the market violates both the previous day’s high and low. Can signal reversal or continuation.
- Larry Williams concept – outside down close in a bullish market sets a bullish reversal potential.
Practical Application
- Analyze the dollar index for direction, then translate for Forex pairs (e.g., EUR/USD as a mirror image).
Examples
- Bullish Dollar Index: Reach for previous day’s high while focusing on intermediate highs on the chart.
- Bearish Euro/USD: Similar analysis but focusing on previous day’s lows.
- Consistent use of daily highs/lows to determine bias and potential targets.
Summary
- Use these strategies in a demo account to build expertise.
- Applying the concepts to your trading plans can help identify daily biases effectively.
- There are vast opportunities to build upon these concepts with more advanced understandings.
- For further learning, visit innercircletrader.com.
Conclusion
- The notes provide a foundation to understand and apply daily bias trading strategies effectively using charts and key points consistently.
- Ongoing practice and further study are necessary to increase proficiency.
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