Essentials to Trading the Daily Bias

Jul 18, 2024

Essentials to Trading the Daily Bias

Key Points

  • Focus on teaching essentials required to trade the daily bias using the dollar index on a daily chart.
  • This presentation does not guarantee daily predictions for daily bias; practice is necessary.
  • Concepts apply broadly across different currency pairs.

Tools and Concepts Used

  • Daily Chart: Used to ascertain if the day will likely close up or down.
  • Intermediate and Short-term Highs and Lows: Key turning points used for support and resistance analysis.
  • Support and Resistance Theory: Core concept when market is range-bound or not in a parabolic move.
  • Classic Support/Resistance Levels: Identified by looking at the obvious swing points and turnings.
  • Market Scenarios: Analyzed whether trending or range-bound.

Trading Strategies

Key Turning Points

  • Short-term Swing Highs/Lows on Daily Chart: Identify points where price may reverse.
  • Example: Breaking above an old high signals potential to reverse and trade lower, or vice versa for old lows.

Determining Bias

  • When Market is Bullish: Focus on Previous Day’s High as Target.
  • When Market is Bearish: Focus on Previous Day’s Low as Target.

Support/Resistance Challenges

  • Determining which levels to use can be complex; rely on swing points.
  • Observe how market responds to breaking swing highs/lows.

Reversal Patterns

  • Outside Day: When the market violates both the previous day’s high and low. Can signal reversal or continuation.
  • Larry Williams concept – outside down close in a bullish market sets a bullish reversal potential.

Practical Application

  • Analyze the dollar index for direction, then translate for Forex pairs (e.g., EUR/USD as a mirror image).

Examples

  • Bullish Dollar Index: Reach for previous day’s high while focusing on intermediate highs on the chart.
  • Bearish Euro/USD: Similar analysis but focusing on previous day’s lows.
  • Consistent use of daily highs/lows to determine bias and potential targets.

Summary

  • Use these strategies in a demo account to build expertise.
  • Applying the concepts to your trading plans can help identify daily biases effectively.
  • There are vast opportunities to build upon these concepts with more advanced understandings.
  • For further learning, visit innercircletrader.com.

Conclusion

  • The notes provide a foundation to understand and apply daily bias trading strategies effectively using charts and key points consistently.
  • Ongoing practice and further study are necessary to increase proficiency.

Visit Inner Circle Trader for more resources