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Understanding Probability and Complementary Events

Dec 16, 2024

Lecture Notes: Probability and Complementary Events

Introduction

  • Clarification of the term "complementary events" in math.
    • Not about receiving compliments.
    • Definition: Complementary events are opposite outcomes.
      • Example: If you eat 2 slices from an 8-slice pizza, the complementary event is leaving 6 slices.
      • Another Example: Watching TV for 4 hours means not watching for 20 hours.

Probability Basics

  • Formula for Probability:
    • Probability = ( \frac{\text{Number of events being watched}}{\text{Number of possible events}} )

Example Problem with a Deck of Cards

Part A: Probability of Drawing an Ace

  • Deck Information: 52 cards total.
    • 4 aces (one per suit: clubs, spades, diamonds, hearts).
  • Calculation:
    • ( \frac{4}{52} = \frac{1}{13} )
    • Result: The probability of drawing an ace is ( \frac{1}{13} ).

Part B: Probability of Not Drawing an Ace (Complementary Event)

  • Concept: Total probability equals 1.
    • Either draw an ace or do not draw an ace.
  • Calculation:
    • Probability of not drawing an ace = 1 - Probability of drawing an ace.
    • ( 1 - \frac{1}{13} = \frac{12}{13} )
    • Result: The probability of not drawing an ace is ( \frac{12}{13} ).

Practice Problem: Blocks in a Bag

Part A: Probability of Drawing a Red Block

  • Bag Information: 12 blocks total.
    • 3 red blocks.
  • Calculation:
    • ( \frac{3}{12} = \frac{1}{4} )
    • Result: The probability of drawing a red block is ( \frac{1}{4} ).

Part B: Probability of Not Drawing a Red Block (Complementary Event)

  • Calculation:
    • Probability of not drawing a red block = 1 - Probability of drawing a red block.
    • ( 1 - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{3}{4} )
    • Result: The probability of not drawing a red block is ( \frac{3}{4} ).

Key Takeaways

  • Complementary events represent opposite outcomes.
  • Total probability of all possible outcomes adds up to 1.
  • For probability of something not happening, subtract the probability of it happening from 1.