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MicroStrategy and Bitcoin Investment Insights
Dec 4, 2024
Unrivaled Investing Overview
Introduction
Channel focuses on potential multi-baggers: stocks that can increase significantly in value.
Example: MicroStrategy (MSTR) increased by 2,000% in recent years, outperforming Bitcoin, major US indices, gold, silver, and tech stocks.
Disclosure: Daniel owns shares in App, another company with potential.
MicroStrategy's Unique Strategy
MicroStrategy aims to be the first Bitcoin treasury company.
Strategy involves issuing debt and equity to purchase Bitcoin.
Plans to raise $42 billion through $21 billion in equity and $21 billion in fixed income.
Inspired by "Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy"'s concept of the meaning of life (42).
MicroStrategy's Software Business
Legacy operations include a software business.
Recent quarters show declining revenue and profitability.
Software segment valuation hard to justify beyond $1-2 billion.
Bitcoin Holdings
As of Q3 2024, MicroStrategy's Bitcoin cost around $10 billion for 252,000 coins.
Aggressive increase in Bitcoin purchases with $21 billion stock offering.
Billion-dollar debt issuance at low interest due to convertible notes.
Convertible notes strategy aligns with expected Bitcoin price increases.
Recent Developments
Significant Bitcoin purchase during November-December period.
Acquired 1.5 billion in Bitcoin at $96,000 per coin.
Total Bitcoin holdings as of December 1: 402,000 Bitcoins ($23.4 billion purchase price).
Market Perspective and Strategy
Not financial advice; Daniel does not own MicroStrategy shares.
Evaluation of membership benefits in the Unrivaled Investing community.
Thoughts on Bitcoin
No current Bitcoin holdings; educated on its asymmetric bullish potential.
"Broken Money" book highlights Bitcoin's value against authoritarian regimes and currency devaluation.
Fixed supply of 21 million coins viewed as hedge against fiat currency issues.
Potential for Bitcoin to increase and become a more significant global asset.
MicroStrategy's Valuation
Current market cap: ~$103 billion.
Bitcoin holdings valued at ~$38 billion, showing a $60 billion premium in market cap.
Premium suggests investor belief in Bitcoin's future growth.
Investment Alternatives
Value investing strategy contrasts with MicroStrategy's premium.
Suggestion to buy Bitcoin through brokers, avoiding premium.
Interactive Brokers noted for lower trading costs.
Conclusion
MicroStrategy's premium suggests buying Bitcoin directly may yield better returns.
Consider Bitcoin as part of a diversified portfolio.
Final Thoughts
Importance of open-mindedness in investing.
Encouragement to explore Bitcoin as a potential asset.
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