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SMT Divergence Trading Strategy

Sep 30, 2025

Overview

This lecture explains how to identify and use SMT (Smart Money Technique) Divergence in trading indexes, with practical chart walkthroughs and execution strategies.

What is SMT Divergence?

  • SMT Divergence uses two correlated indexes, commonly ES (S&P 500) and NQ (NASDAQ), to spot trading opportunities.
  • It occurs when one index makes a higher high (or lower low), while the other fails to do so, indicating a lagging index.
  • SMT Divergence is most reliable on ES and NQ, sometimes works on BTC/ETH or EUR/USDโ€“GBP/USD but less tested there.

Identifying SMT Divergence

  • A bearish SMT Divergence: NASDAQ makes a higher high as ES makes a lower high; ES is starting a downtrend while NASDAQ lags.
  • A bullish SMT Divergence: NASDAQ makes a higher low, ES makes a lower low; ES is lagging, NASDAQ indicates a trend higher.
  • Look for divergence at key areas such as liquidity sweeps or high time frame fair value gaps (imbalances).
  • SMT Divergence can be detected on all time frames; 5-minute is preferred for entries.

Using SMT Divergence for Trade Entries

  • Always determine your daily bias first (bullish or bearish) before taking trades based on SMT Divergence.
  • Do NOT trade against your bias (e.g., donโ€™t take bearish setups in a bullish market).
  • Use the lagging index for trade execution; for a bearish setup, if ES is already dropping, look to short NASDAQ.
  • Confirm SMT Divergence with additional confluences like break of structure, fair value gap fills, or order blocks.
  • Wait for confirmation on lower time frames before executing trades.

Practical Examples

  • The lecture included live chart walkthroughs showing both bearish and bullish SMT Divergence on intraday setups.
  • Examples emphasized the need to combine divergence with liquidity sweeps, market bias, and execution models for reliable trades.

Key Terms & Definitions

  • SMT Divergence โ€” A mismatch in swing highs/lows between two correlated indexes, signaling a potential reversal/trade opportunity.
  • Lagging Index โ€” The index that fails to confirm a new high/low, often predicting future movement.
  • Liquidity Sweep โ€” Price movement that takes out significant highs/lows where liquidity is concentrated.
  • Fair Value Gap (FVG) โ€” A price imbalance between candles, often acting as target or support/resistance.
  • Break of Structure (BOS) โ€” When price breaks a key swing high/low, indicating a trend change.

Action Items / Next Steps

  • Review daily bias and confluences before using SMT Divergence.
  • Backtest SMT Divergence setups on ES and NQ in different time frames.
  • Watch related videos on daily bias, liquidity concepts, and entry models for better understanding.