Saudi Arabia, the US Dollar, and Project mBridge

Jul 5, 2024

Saudi Arabia, the US Dollar, and Project mBridge

Introduction

  • Speaker: Mark Moss
  • Topic: Saudi Arabia leaving the Petro dollar and adopting Project mBridge by BIS
  • Objective: To explain what Project mBridge is, why Saudi Arabia is adopting it, and its implications

Background

  • Mark Moss: Financial educator & investor with over 20 years experience, partner in Bitcoin-focused hedge fund

Saudi Arabia and the Petro Dollar

  • Common Narrative: Saudi Arabia ditching or not renewing the Petro dollar agreement
  • Actual Agreement: Agreement from 1974 on mutual cooperation between the USA and Saudi Arabia, focused on financial and military assistance
  • Current Status: The agreement wasn't exactly about pricing oil exclusively in dollars; it was broader
  • Misconceptions: Headlines vary, and there’s truth in both perspectives

US Dollar's Global Presence

  • Trend: Decrease in US Dollar's percentage in global trade from 80% in 2000 to below 60% now
  • Implication: A gradual trend downward, not an immediate crash
  • Charts: Show continuous decline and rise in usage of other currencies like the Chinese Yuan

Shift to Project mBridge

  • New Agreement: Saudi Arabia is joining the BIS and China-led Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) project
  • BIS: Bank of International Settlements is the 'central bank for central banks'
  • Participants: Includes 15 use cases, 22 major participants (e.g., Goldman Sachs, HSBC, major state-owned Chinese banks)

Leapfrogging Technology

  • Old System: US dollars, SWIFT system
  • New System: mBridge allows countries to bypass SWIFT, similar to how Africa leapfrogged wired to wireless internet
  • Implications: Changes the dynamics of international trade and financial transactions

What is Project mBridge?

  • Description: A multi-CBDC platform by BIS to connect economies
  • Features: Programmable money, improved cross-border transactions
  • Participants: Hong Kong, Thailand, China, UAE, and now Saudi Arabia
  • Functionality: Central banks use mBridge as a hub for currency exchange

Concerns and Implications

  • Centralization Risk: Potential for centralizing the banking system, leading to manipulation
  • Inflation: As US Dollar dominance decreases, inflation in the US might increase
  • Economic Impact: Quality of life may decrease due to increased cost of living

Conclusion

  • Current Events: We're witnessing a historic transformation of the international monetary system
  • Future Trends: Dollar's decline will be gradual but persistent
  • Investment Implications: Need to grow wealth by at least 12% to stay ahead of inflation and currency debasement
  • Call to Action: Stay informed, assess the impact on your financial plans