Notes on Distressed Debt and Restructuring Investing
Overview
Distressed debt and restructuring investing is a niche, growing sector within private equity, influenced heavily by local laws and bankruptcy regulations.
Hedge funds are significant players, especially in distressed debt trading.
The sector is counter-cyclical, performing better during economic downturns.
Investment Strategies
Distressed Debt Trading
Purchase distressed debt at low prices (e.g., 40% of par value) and sell for profit.
Focuses on market mispricing; short holding periods.
Distressed Debt: Active/Non-Control
Accumulate significant positions in companies in bankruptcy to gain influence.
Longer holding periods, more concentrated positions.
Distressed Debt: Control
Gain controlling interest in bankruptcy proceedings to take over companies.
Resembles buyout strategy post-bankruptcy.
Restructuring or Turnaround
Target distressed companies using equity, aiming for control and restructuring.
Involves deep knowledge of local bankruptcy laws.
The Role of Bankruptcy Law
Essential for restructuring strategies; Chapter 11 of U.S. bankruptcy code is foundational.
Different countries have different laws; requires tailored strategies.
Market Evolution
U.S. bankruptcy law changes in 1978 set foundation for distressed debt market.
1980s saw the rise of high-yield bonds, leading to more distressed opportunities.
S&L crisis in the late '80s also increased distressed opportunities.
Market Cycles and Globalization
The sector's opportunities fluctuate with economic cycles.
1990s strong economy reduced opportunities, but Asian financial crisis in 1997 opened new markets.
Distressed debt and restructuring have become global, with significant focus on Asia and Europe.
Summary
Sector has evolved significantly over 15 years, becoming a global market.
Counter-cyclical nature makes it attractive for risk diversification.
Anticipation of new distressed cycles in U.S. and Europe is leading to new fund formations.
Key Individuals
Kelly K. Deponte, Partner at Probitas Partners, head of research and due diligence for alternative fund placement activities.
Timeline Highlights
1978: Chapter 11 of U.S. Bankruptcy Code.
1980s: Surge in high-yield bond market.
1989-91: First major distressed deals post-junk bond boom.
1997: Asian financial crisis expands market globally.
2002: EU Regulation on Insolvency Proceedings.
Conclusion
Bankruptcy law changes affect investment strategies and stakeholder outcomes.
Future financial stress cycles will see evolving laws and strategies.