Podcast Insights on Market Trends

Sep 20, 2024

Street Check Podcast Notes

Hosts Introduction

  • Chris Preston and Brad Simmerman
  • Part of Cat Wealth Network

Opening Discussion: 80s and 90s Nostalgia in Films

  • Films mentioned: Beetlejuice, Twisters, Bad Boys, Ghostbusters, Alien, Garfield
  • Discussing nostalgia and watching these films with their kids
  • Nostalgia as a significant trend in current pop culture

Main Topics

1. Federal Reserve Rate Cuts

  • Recent 50 basis point cut by the Fed
  • Expectation of further rate cuts this year and possibly next year
  • Institutional investors might pull cash off the sidelines due to lower cash yields
  • Discussion of how rate cuts affect pension funds and investment strategies
  • Historical context of rate cuts and their market impact

2. Small Caps

  • Historical underperformance of small caps compared to large caps
  • Recent uptick in small cap performance
  • Small caps tend to outperform three out of every five years
  • Potential for significant growth in small caps similar to the mid-90s

3. Market Bottom and Seasonal Trends

  • Market's history of bottoming in October
  • Discussion on whether the recent rate cut marks the market bottom
  • Seasonal patterns and election impact on market performance

Featured Segment: Future Topics to Watch

1. Space and Moonshots

  • Increased interest in space-related investments
  • Potential for speculative technology investments in a more favorable environment
  • Mention of companies such as Rocket Labs, Intuitive Machines, and Space Mobile

2. Jobs

  • Jobs as a potential concern for market bears
  • Current shifts in employment across sectors
  • Possible sector-by-sector rolling weakness or recovery

3. Real Estate

  • Impact of rate cuts on mortgage rates and the housing market
  • Home builders potentially first to benefit from lower rates
  • Historical performance of homebuilder stocks during past rate cut cycles

4. Bitcoin

  • Bitcoin as a bull market play
  • Discussion on Bitcoin's correlation with market trends
  • Potential for Bitcoin to reach new highs in response to market rally

5. Election

  • Election cycle as a source of market uncertainty
  • Historical trends of market performance pre and post-election
  • Potential impact of election results on market dynamics

Closing Remarks

  • Encouragement to like and subscribe to the podcast
  • Invitation for audience feedback and theme suggestions

These notes summarize the key discussions and themes from the episode, providing a reference for understanding the potential market impacts of current events as discussed by the hosts.