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Understanding Fibonacci Retracement (Bikerboy D)

Sep 18, 2024

Fibonacci Retracement Lecture

Introduction

  • Speaker: Biker Boy D from the Moon The Profit Squad
  • Welcome to: Zamunda University
  • Encouragement: Pay attention, take notes, and ask questions

Fibonacci Sequence

  • Definition: Each term is the sum of the previous two terms
    • Examples: 1 + 1 = 2, 2 + 3 = 5, 5 + 8 = 13
  • Nature and Design: Found in nature, structures, flowers, even human anatomy
  • Visual Representation: Creates a spiral pattern

The Golden Ratio (Phi)

  • Value: Approximately 1.618
  • Calculation: Divide a number in the sequence by its preceding number
    • Example: 5/3 ≈ 1.618, 55/34 ≈ 1.618

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

  • Purpose: Horizontal lines indicating possible support and resistance levels
  • Key Levels and Percentages:
    • 23.6%
    • 38.2%
    • 61.8% (Golden Ratio)
    • 78.6%
    • 50% (not Fibonacci but represents equilibrium)

Practical Application

  • Drawing Fibonacci on Charts: TradingView
  • Commonly Used Levels:
    • 0.236: Slight retracement in a strong trend
    • 0.382: Indicates a strong trend or reversal
    • 0.5: High likelihood of reversal
    • 0.618: Most likely level of reversal
    • 0.786: Last line of defense before a trend change

Examples with Charts

  • Approach:
    • Identify swing highs and lows
    • Draw Fibonacci levels to find potential retracement points
  • Conceptual Analogy: Tug of war between buyers and sellers

Fibonacci in Uptrends

  • In an Uptrend: Go from swing low to swing high
  • Key Zones for Reversal: 0.5 to 0.618 (Golden Zone)
  • Indicators: Use in conjunction with other signals (e.g., support/resistance, the Strat)

Fibonacci in Downtrends

  • In a Downtrend: Go from swing high to swing low
  • Key Reversal Levels: Same levels apply (0.382, 0.5, 0.618)

Chart Analysis Techniques

  • Time Frames:
    • Fibonacci can be applied across different time frames (Daily, Weekly, Monthly)
  • Strategy for Multiple Time Frames:
    • Analyze larger trends on higher time frames, finer details on lower time frames

Fibonacci Retracement Homework

  • Assignment: Practice plotting and analyzing Fibonacci retracement on various charts and time frames

Conclusion

  • Q&A Session: Encouraged throughout the lecture
  • Contact for Help: DM Biker Boy D or Rose for assistance
  • Recording Availability: Lecture will be uploaded for review

Final Notes

  • Use Fibonacci retracement as a tool to enhance trading strategies
  • Pair Fibonacci with other technical analysis tools for best results
  • Remember to focus on confluence and confirmation before making trades