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ORB Trading Strategy Overview

Jul 22, 2025

Summary

  • The meeting focused on an in-depth walkthrough of the Opening Range Breakout (ORB) trading strategy, specifically as applied to NASDAQ indexes using 15-minute and 5-minute timeframes.
  • Key rules, backtesting methods, and systematic trade management practices were discussed, aiming to provide a simple, systematic approach for both new and experienced traders.
  • Performance statistics and risk management recommendations were shared, alongside brief commentary on planned future optimizations and live trading sessions.

Action Items

  • None specified (educational session; no direct tasks assigned).

Overview of the Opening Range Breakout (ORB) Strategy

  • The ORB trade uses a systematic approach, encouraging discipline and patience by requiring traders to wait out the initial market volatility.
  • The opening range is defined by the high and low of the first 15 minutes after the New York session opens (or adjusted to other timeframes as desired).
  • The strategy can be customized for different timeframes (5-minute, 15-minute, or others).
  • Backtesting was performed manually, with performance tracked day-by-day to establish baseline expectations for breakout targets and stop-losses.
  • The speaker uses a custom tool (ā€œOrb Wranglerā€) to automate drawing levels (opening range, midpoint, extension targets, and VWAP).
  • VWAP slope is monitored for confirmation; a flat VWAP signals lack of momentum, while an angled VWAP supports a breakout thesis.

Detailed ORB Trading Rules and Execution

  • Entry orders are placed just outside the opening range boundaries, after the initial 15 minutes (or three 5-minute candles).
  • Absolutely no early entries—traders must wait for the confirmed breakout.
  • Stop-loss is set a few ticks outside the opposite boundary of the opening range from entry.
  • First profit target is set at a 1:1 ratio (equivalent range extension) but filled just shy of the exact level for higher fill probability.
  • Upon reaching half the extension (0.5R), the stop is moved to break even plus commission.
  • Volume confirmation on the breakout increases trade quality but is not strictly required.
  • Trailing stops are optionally used at the discretion of the trader.
  • The strategy allows for up to two attempts in each direction per session.
  • The approach is designed for the morning session only, discouraging use in the afternoon.
  • Traders are cautioned to size positions so that rare streaks of losses do not endanger their accounts.

Performance and Optimization Insights

  • Backtesting on NASDAQ showed better results versus ES (S&P 500).
  • The trade hit stop-loss 22% of the time, hit a trailing stop 22–23% of the time, and reached the main target 55% of the time.
  • Overall, the strategy resulted in breakeven or better 78% of the time over the examined period.
  • Plans are in place to further optimize and possibly automate the strategy.

Decisions

  • Focus trading on NASDAQ for ORB strategy — Chosen due to observed higher likelihood of reaching extended breakout targets during backtesting compared to ES.

Open Questions / Follow-Ups

  • Further optimization and automation of the ORB strategy are ongoing; updates to be provided in future sessions or via Discord/MyFunded TV.
  • The speaker invites feedback from other traders regarding their personal ORB rules or variations that have proven successful.