Wall Street's Little Black Book of Trading Strategies
Introduction
- Author: Tom Busby
- Background: Over 40 years of experience in trading, former Merrill Lynch broker, and CEO of Diversified Trading Institute (DTI).
- Key Achievements: Navigated significant market events, authored trading books, and teaches proprietary trading techniques.
- Aim: The book provides access to top trading secrets developed over Busby’s career.
Chapter 1: The Crucible - Black Monday
- Event: October 19, 1987, Dow Jones dropped over 500 points, a 22% value loss.
- Global Impact: Markets worldwide, including Canada, UK, and Asia, experienced historical losses.
- Cause: Speculated factors include program trading, federal debt, and high bond yields.
- Personal Journey: Loss of wealth and self-confidence; stresses on family and need for resilience.
- Trading Beginnings: Started with trading pork bellies, faced initial losses with stocks like Pan Am.
- Rise: Transitioned to trading options and futures, faced the challenges of the 1987 crash.
Chapter 2: Time is Central
- Trading and Patience: Importance of timing and patience in trading, similar to fishing.
- Key Lesson: Enter the market only when the odds are favorable.
- Market Movements: Correlated with times of day, such as morning activity and post-lunch movements.
- Trade Zones: Specific times identified for trading to maximize opportunities.
- Global Awareness: Use a 24-hour trading clock to monitor global markets.
Chapter 3: Trading is a Numbers Game
- Key Numbers: Essential for understanding market resistance and support points.
- Historical Influence: Examples such as Dow's 10,000 points illustrate market psychology.
- Establishing Key Numbers: Through historical significance and recent trading patterns.
- Trading Approach: Use key numbers to determine entry, exit, and risk management.
Chapter 4: Read the Tape
- Tape Reading: Essential skill in trading, involves understanding numbers in context.
- Indicators: Key indicators include $ADD, $ADDQ, $TICK, TRIN, V-Factor, and TTICK.
- Big Picture: Maintain a long-term and short-term market perspective.
- Trust the Numbers: Follow indicators rather than preconceived notions.
Chapter 5: There's No Crying in Trading
- Emotional Management: Key emotions are greed, fear, and arrogance.
- Realistic Goals: Set achievable profit targets and control greed.
- Fear: Manage fear to avoid paralyzing trading decisions.
- Exit Strategy: Always have a plan to exit trades.
Chapter 6: Riding the Rail
- Strategic Plan: Essential for successful trading.
- Three Ts of Trading: Tick (quick profit), Trade (slightly larger profit), Trend (maximize profit).
- Execution: Proper timing and use of key numbers.
- Adaptability: Recognize market changes and adjust strategies.
Chapter 7: Worry about Risk, the Rewards Will Come
- Risk Management: Primary focus before seeking rewards.
- Account Management: Define a tilt number for acceptable losses.
- Protection: Use of protective stops and understand market volatility.
- Long-term Success: Preserve capital and manage trading risks effectively.
Key Lessons Learned
- Patience and Timing: Vital for successful trading.
- Education: Essential to avoid expensive mistakes.
- Risk Management: Always prioritize controlling risks.
- Adaptability: Be ready to adjust strategies as market conditions change.
These notes summarize the essential strategies and lessons from Tom Busby's book, focusing on trading techniques, emotional control, and risk management.