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Trading Strategies from Tom Busby's Book

Feb 9, 2025

Wall Street's Little Black Book of Trading Strategies

Introduction

  • Author: Tom Busby
  • Background: Over 40 years of experience in trading, former Merrill Lynch broker, and CEO of Diversified Trading Institute (DTI).
  • Key Achievements: Navigated significant market events, authored trading books, and teaches proprietary trading techniques.
  • Aim: The book provides access to top trading secrets developed over Busby’s career.

Chapter 1: The Crucible - Black Monday

  • Event: October 19, 1987, Dow Jones dropped over 500 points, a 22% value loss.
  • Global Impact: Markets worldwide, including Canada, UK, and Asia, experienced historical losses.
  • Cause: Speculated factors include program trading, federal debt, and high bond yields.
  • Personal Journey: Loss of wealth and self-confidence; stresses on family and need for resilience.
  • Trading Beginnings: Started with trading pork bellies, faced initial losses with stocks like Pan Am.
  • Rise: Transitioned to trading options and futures, faced the challenges of the 1987 crash.

Chapter 2: Time is Central

  • Trading and Patience: Importance of timing and patience in trading, similar to fishing.
  • Key Lesson: Enter the market only when the odds are favorable.
  • Market Movements: Correlated with times of day, such as morning activity and post-lunch movements.
  • Trade Zones: Specific times identified for trading to maximize opportunities.
  • Global Awareness: Use a 24-hour trading clock to monitor global markets.

Chapter 3: Trading is a Numbers Game

  • Key Numbers: Essential for understanding market resistance and support points.
  • Historical Influence: Examples such as Dow's 10,000 points illustrate market psychology.
  • Establishing Key Numbers: Through historical significance and recent trading patterns.
  • Trading Approach: Use key numbers to determine entry, exit, and risk management.

Chapter 4: Read the Tape

  • Tape Reading: Essential skill in trading, involves understanding numbers in context.
  • Indicators: Key indicators include $ADD, $ADDQ, $TICK, TRIN, V-Factor, and TTICK.
  • Big Picture: Maintain a long-term and short-term market perspective.
  • Trust the Numbers: Follow indicators rather than preconceived notions.

Chapter 5: There's No Crying in Trading

  • Emotional Management: Key emotions are greed, fear, and arrogance.
  • Realistic Goals: Set achievable profit targets and control greed.
  • Fear: Manage fear to avoid paralyzing trading decisions.
  • Exit Strategy: Always have a plan to exit trades.

Chapter 6: Riding the Rail

  • Strategic Plan: Essential for successful trading.
  • Three Ts of Trading: Tick (quick profit), Trade (slightly larger profit), Trend (maximize profit).
  • Execution: Proper timing and use of key numbers.
  • Adaptability: Recognize market changes and adjust strategies.

Chapter 7: Worry about Risk, the Rewards Will Come

  • Risk Management: Primary focus before seeking rewards.
  • Account Management: Define a tilt number for acceptable losses.
  • Protection: Use of protective stops and understand market volatility.
  • Long-term Success: Preserve capital and manage trading risks effectively.

Key Lessons Learned

  • Patience and Timing: Vital for successful trading.
  • Education: Essential to avoid expensive mistakes.
  • Risk Management: Always prioritize controlling risks.
  • Adaptability: Be ready to adjust strategies as market conditions change.

These notes summarize the essential strategies and lessons from Tom Busby's book, focusing on trading techniques, emotional control, and risk management.