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Understanding the Electoral College Dynamics

Nov 6, 2024

Notes on the Electoral College

Introduction

  • The Electoral College is a group appointed by each state to formally elect the President and Vice President of the U.S.

Constitution Overview

  • Defined in Article Two, Section One, Clause Two of the U.S. Constitution.
  • Total of 538 electors since 1964:
    • 435 representatives + 100 senators + 3 electors from the District of Columbia.

Electoral Vote Distribution

  • States receive electors based on population size (determined by the census every 10 years).
  • Example: California has 55 electoral votes. Winning state means candidate receives all electoral votes.
    • Candidates focus on high electoral vote states like Texas, Florida, and New York (96 electoral votes combined).

Voting Dynamics

  • Candidates can win the presidency without winning the popular vote (e.g., 2000 election).
  • A candidate may win electoral votes by narrow margins while losing the popular vote.
    • Losing candidate can receive over 50% of national votes but fail to secure 270 electoral votes.

Criticisms of the Electoral College

  • Unfair advantage to states with many electoral votes.
    • Possible for a candidate to win without any votes in 39 states by focusing on populous states.
  • Supports of the Electoral College argue it protects smaller states (e.g., Rhode Island, Vermont).
    • Candidates must consider every electoral vote, especially in close elections.

Safe and Swing States

  • Safe States: Historically vote for one party (e.g., Oregon, Maryland for Democrats; Mississippi, Alabama for Republicans).
  • Swing States: Alternating support for parties (e.g., Ohio and Florida).
    • These states are critical in elections and have varied electoral outcomes.

Conclusion

  • Importance of understanding the Electoral College and its dynamics during elections.
  • Key questions for voters:
    • Is your state a safe or swing state?
    • Is the population in your state increasing or decreasing?
  • Remember the "magic number" of 270 electoral votes on election night.