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Understanding the Electoral College Dynamics
Nov 6, 2024
Notes on the Electoral College
Introduction
The Electoral College is a group appointed by each state to formally elect the President and Vice President of the U.S.
Constitution Overview
Defined in Article Two, Section One, Clause Two of the U.S. Constitution.
Total of 538 electors since 1964:
435 representatives + 100 senators + 3 electors from the District of Columbia.
Electoral Vote Distribution
States receive electors based on population size (determined by the census every 10 years).
Example: California has 55 electoral votes. Winning state means candidate receives all electoral votes.
Candidates focus on high electoral vote states like Texas, Florida, and New York (96 electoral votes combined).
Voting Dynamics
Candidates can win the presidency without winning the popular vote (e.g., 2000 election).
A candidate may win electoral votes by narrow margins while losing the popular vote.
Losing candidate can receive over 50% of national votes but fail to secure 270 electoral votes.
Criticisms of the Electoral College
Unfair advantage to states with many electoral votes.
Possible for a candidate to win without any votes in 39 states by focusing on populous states.
Supports of the Electoral College argue it protects smaller states (e.g., Rhode Island, Vermont).
Candidates must consider every electoral vote, especially in close elections.
Safe and Swing States
Safe States
: Historically vote for one party (e.g., Oregon, Maryland for Democrats; Mississippi, Alabama for Republicans).
Swing States
: Alternating support for parties (e.g., Ohio and Florida).
These states are critical in elections and have varied electoral outcomes.
Conclusion
Importance of understanding the Electoral College and its dynamics during elections.
Key questions for voters:
Is your state a safe or swing state?
Is the population in your state increasing or decreasing?
Remember the "magic number" of 270 electoral votes on election night.
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