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The Impact of Money in U.S. Elections
Sep 7, 2024
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Money in U.S. Elections
Introduction
Unprecedented amount of money in U.S. elections.
Big donors like Ken Griffin, George Soros, and Reid Hoffman influencing outcomes.
Recent phenomenon: first billion-dollar campaigns in 2012 (Obama vs. Romney).
2020 cycle saw $14.4 billion raised.
Influence of Money
Candidates who spend more generally win:
In 2022, 94% of House candidates and 82% of Senate candidates with most fundraising won.
Presidential campaigns don't always follow this pattern (e.g., Clinton vs. Trump in 2016).
Use of Funds
Funds go to rallies, office operations, staffing, consulting, and advertising (TV, radio, social media).
Advertising is a major expense.
Impact of Fundraising on Campaigns
Fundraising is crucial, illustrated by Biden's 2020 campaign struggles.
Lack of donor support can be detrimental (e.g., George Clooney and Abigail Disney's influence on Biden's campaign).
Current Fundraising Landscape (2024 Presidential Race)
Democrats currently leading in fundraising:
Kamala Harris: $377 million cash on hand.
Donald Trump: $327 million cash on hand.
Act Blue raised $20 million on Tim Walz announcement as Harris’s running mate.
Donation Methods
Three channels:
Individual contributions (capped at $6,600).
PACs (capped at $5,000 for individual candidate committees).
Super PACs (unlimited contributions).
Role of Wealthy Donors
Billionaires heavily influence elections ($880 million in 2022 midterms).
Important figures:
George Soros: $60 million to Democracy PAC in 2024.
Elon Musk: Alleged but denied $45 million monthly donation.
Reed Hastings: $7 million to Harris's super PAC.
Timothy Mellon: $50 million to pro-Trump super PAC.
Linda McMahon: $10 million to pro-Trump super PAC.
Influence of Donations on Policies
Donor interests may be prioritized by politicians.
Example: Trump's alignment with fossil fuel industry donors.
Public Opinion
72% of Americans favor limiting campaign contributions.
Money plays a significant role in the political system.
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