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The Impact of Money in U.S. Elections

Sep 7, 2024

Money in U.S. Elections

Introduction

  • Unprecedented amount of money in U.S. elections.
  • Big donors like Ken Griffin, George Soros, and Reid Hoffman influencing outcomes.
  • Recent phenomenon: first billion-dollar campaigns in 2012 (Obama vs. Romney).
  • 2020 cycle saw $14.4 billion raised.

Influence of Money

  • Candidates who spend more generally win:
    • In 2022, 94% of House candidates and 82% of Senate candidates with most fundraising won.
  • Presidential campaigns don't always follow this pattern (e.g., Clinton vs. Trump in 2016).

Use of Funds

  • Funds go to rallies, office operations, staffing, consulting, and advertising (TV, radio, social media).
  • Advertising is a major expense.

Impact of Fundraising on Campaigns

  • Fundraising is crucial, illustrated by Biden's 2020 campaign struggles.
  • Lack of donor support can be detrimental (e.g., George Clooney and Abigail Disney's influence on Biden's campaign).

Current Fundraising Landscape (2024 Presidential Race)

  • Democrats currently leading in fundraising:
    • Kamala Harris: $377 million cash on hand.
    • Donald Trump: $327 million cash on hand.
  • Act Blue raised $20 million on Tim Walz announcement as Harris’s running mate.

Donation Methods

  • Three channels:
    1. Individual contributions (capped at $6,600).
    2. PACs (capped at $5,000 for individual candidate committees).
    3. Super PACs (unlimited contributions).

Role of Wealthy Donors

  • Billionaires heavily influence elections ($880 million in 2022 midterms).
  • Important figures:
    • George Soros: $60 million to Democracy PAC in 2024.
    • Elon Musk: Alleged but denied $45 million monthly donation.
    • Reed Hastings: $7 million to Harris's super PAC.
    • Timothy Mellon: $50 million to pro-Trump super PAC.
    • Linda McMahon: $10 million to pro-Trump super PAC.

Influence of Donations on Policies

  • Donor interests may be prioritized by politicians.
  • Example: Trump's alignment with fossil fuel industry donors.

Public Opinion

  • 72% of Americans favor limiting campaign contributions.
  • Money plays a significant role in the political system.