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Technical Analysis of Bitcoin and Major Altcoins
Jul 9, 2024
Technical Analysis of Bitcoin and Major Altcoins
Introduction
Focus on technical analysis of Bitcoin and other major altcoins.
Important for understanding market direction in the coming weeks.
Recent market context: bearish for last 3-4 months but now showing good signs.
Trend is still bearish; look for bullish setups.
Bitcoin Analysis
Breakdown of the current Bitcoin chart and previous trends.
Understanding past corrections and resets.
Significance of breaking previous lows to reset and push higher.
Sideways correction patterns and impulsive moves.
Key focus: whether this period marks a significant low.
Use of high/low markers and impulsive move indicators.
Two possible scenarios: continuation of bearish trend or start of bullish trend.
Strategies for swing trading based on these scenarios.
Importance of higher lows and signals for entering long positions.
Avalanche (AVAX) Analysis
Comparison with Bitcoin's market behavior.
Examination of daily candlestick patterns and bullish hammer indications.
Importance of Fibonacci retracement levels (618 to 786) for corrections.
Analysis of wave patterns (Elliot Impulse Wave principle).
Focus on deeper corrections and high/low markers.
Solana (SOL) Analysis
Potential Wave 2 in progress with possibility of a five-wave move.
Use of Trend-based Fibonacci extensions to analyze current structure.
Long positions based on certain market behavior but with caution.
In-depth comparison with 2021 corrective patterns.
Importance of watching for breakout patterns and maintaining higher lows.
Other Altcoins
Layer 1 coins: focus on stronger coins for potential moves.
Mention of specific altcoins: Injective, Chainlink.
Analysis of pattern formations and higher/lower lows.
Strategies for shorting weaker coins if market corrections persist.
Trading Strategy and Mindset
Importance of not diversifying too much; focus on few strong coins.
Different approach for longer-term investors vs. short-term traders.
Emphasis on patience and waiting for clear movements in the market.
Risk management by focusing on high probability trades.
Smaller Coins and New Coins
Analysis of new coins (e.g., Jupiter) and their setups.
Patterns to watch for: reducing volume, Wyckoff accumulation patterns.
Higher lows as indicators for potential bullish moves.
Caution advised: Wait for larger coins to move before trading smaller ones.
Emphasis on liquidity flow from larger to smaller coins.
Conclusion
Recap of strategies and market analysis techniques.
Focus on chart analysis over external news or FUD.
Importance of adapting strategy based on market signals and setups.
Encouragement to use technical analysis tools effectively.
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