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Technical Analysis of Bitcoin and Major Altcoins

Jul 9, 2024

Technical Analysis of Bitcoin and Major Altcoins

Introduction

  • Focus on technical analysis of Bitcoin and other major altcoins.
  • Important for understanding market direction in the coming weeks.
  • Recent market context: bearish for last 3-4 months but now showing good signs.
  • Trend is still bearish; look for bullish setups.

Bitcoin Analysis

  • Breakdown of the current Bitcoin chart and previous trends.
  • Understanding past corrections and resets.
  • Significance of breaking previous lows to reset and push higher.
  • Sideways correction patterns and impulsive moves.
  • Key focus: whether this period marks a significant low.
  • Use of high/low markers and impulsive move indicators.
  • Two possible scenarios: continuation of bearish trend or start of bullish trend.
  • Strategies for swing trading based on these scenarios.
  • Importance of higher lows and signals for entering long positions.

Avalanche (AVAX) Analysis

  • Comparison with Bitcoin's market behavior.
  • Examination of daily candlestick patterns and bullish hammer indications.
  • Importance of Fibonacci retracement levels (618 to 786) for corrections.
  • Analysis of wave patterns (Elliot Impulse Wave principle).
  • Focus on deeper corrections and high/low markers.

Solana (SOL) Analysis

  • Potential Wave 2 in progress with possibility of a five-wave move.
  • Use of Trend-based Fibonacci extensions to analyze current structure.
  • Long positions based on certain market behavior but with caution.
  • In-depth comparison with 2021 corrective patterns.
  • Importance of watching for breakout patterns and maintaining higher lows.

Other Altcoins

  • Layer 1 coins: focus on stronger coins for potential moves.
  • Mention of specific altcoins: Injective, Chainlink.
  • Analysis of pattern formations and higher/lower lows.
  • Strategies for shorting weaker coins if market corrections persist.

Trading Strategy and Mindset

  • Importance of not diversifying too much; focus on few strong coins.
  • Different approach for longer-term investors vs. short-term traders.
  • Emphasis on patience and waiting for clear movements in the market.
  • Risk management by focusing on high probability trades.

Smaller Coins and New Coins

  • Analysis of new coins (e.g., Jupiter) and their setups.
  • Patterns to watch for: reducing volume, Wyckoff accumulation patterns.
  • Higher lows as indicators for potential bullish moves.
  • Caution advised: Wait for larger coins to move before trading smaller ones.
  • Emphasis on liquidity flow from larger to smaller coins.

Conclusion

  • Recap of strategies and market analysis techniques.
  • Focus on chart analysis over external news or FUD.
  • Importance of adapting strategy based on market signals and setups.
  • Encouragement to use technical analysis tools effectively.