Notes on India's Union Budget 2024

Jul 27, 2024

Lecture Notes on India's Union Budget 2024

Key Highlights

  • Date and Presenter: India’s Finance Minister presented the Union Budget on July 23, 2024. This was her 7th consecutive budget, the most by any Finance Minister in India.
  • Economic Context: This budget comes after the elections and has sparked chaos regarding its implications for the middle class and employment.

Four Major Focus Areas of the Budget

  1. Employment and Skilling

    • Goal: Facilitate employment and skills for 4.1 crore youth over 5 years with a budget of ₹2 lakh crores.
    • Budget includes:
      • One-time wage support for first-time formal sector job holders, subsidizing up to ₹15,000.
      • Incentives for job creation in manufacturing for employers hiring freshers.
      • Support to increase women’s workforce participation through working hostels.
    • Criticism: Business owners highlight a skills gap rather than financial incentive issues.
  2. MSMEs (Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises)

    • Importance: MSMEs employ over 11 crore people and contribute 30% of GDP, yet only 14% have access to credit.
    • Key Schemes:
      • Credit Guarantee Scheme: Allows MSMEs to access loans without collateral.
      • Streamlined credit assessment through public sector banks.
      • Continued funding for MSMEs at risk of default during market shocks.
      • Export Hub to support MSMEs in international trade.
  3. Farmers and Rural Development

    • Budget Increase: Agricultural spending increased to ₹1.52 lakh crores.
    • Focus Areas:
      • Research on climate-resilient crops and increasing agricultural productivity.
      • Support for natural farming and upgrading 1,000 training institutes.
      • Connectivity program under Pradhan Mantri Gramin Sadak Yojana for 25,000 villages.
  4. Middle Class Concerns

    • Criticism of the new tax regime, which many believe is detrimental leading to high taxes burdens in other areas.
    • New Tax Slabs Explained:
      • Tax rate structure changes aimed to reduce burden but capital gains taxes raised, increasing dissatisfaction among middle-class taxpayers.
    • Example of tax implications for a salaried individual earning ₹20 lakh p.a.
      • Total tax post deductions could yield a savings of ₹10,000 compared to previous policies.

Financial Management Overview

  • Fiscal Deficit Reduction: Financial management has improved with a decrease in fiscal deficit from 99.2% to 4.99%.
  • Revenue Sources: 27% of revenue from borrowings, indicating a positive increase from last year.

Political Allocations and Criticisms

  • State Allocations Favoring: Special allocations for Andhra Pradesh and Bihar, raising concerns over lack of support for states struggling financially, such as Manipur.
  • Importance of balanced allocations to maintain political stability and equity in development.

Sectoral Opportunities from the Budget

  • Renewable Energy: Investments in renewable energy are expected to benefit companies focused on solar energy.
  • FMCG: Increased rural spending will likely boost FMCG companies as consumer demand rises.
  • Pharmaceuticals: Watch for opportunities following subsidy increases.

Summary of Insights

  • Overall, while some initiatives in the Union Budget seem promising (like MSME support), many feel the measures for employment and education are inadequate due to a lack of focus on practical skills and education improvements.
  • Importance of Implementation: Policies need effective implementation to have a true impact. The government’s credibility rests on these outcomes.

Closing Thoughts

  • The information shared is for educational context and does not constitute investment advice.
  • Please take time to review additional resources for a comprehensive understanding of the budget's implications.