Butterfly Effect L52: Range Resetting 1

Jul 5, 2024

Concepts of Range Identification and Range Resetting in Trading

Key Points

  • Range Identification: Determining where ranges exist in trading using high time frames.
  • Range Resetting: The process of back-testing and re-evaluating ranges.

Process of Identifying Ranges

  1. Start with the Highest Time Frame: Begin by identifying ranges on a weekly or monthly time frame.
    • Example: Weekly range at 9568 level.
  2. Avoid Small Time Frames: Starting on small time frames can lead to missing information and wrong architecture.
  3. Identify Greediest Levels: Find the most optimal entry points within a range.
    • Example: On a one-hour range, determine the greediest part.
  4. Adjust Levels: If a range or level is already tested, move to the next time frame or range.
  5. Range Flow: Observe how ranges interact and create flow within price movements.
    • Example: Levels inside a range may become irrelevant once a higher time frame range is tested.
  6. Final Hold Levels: Identify final hold levels to determine if a range will sustain or break.
    • Example: A range might drop significantly if not held on key levels.

Strategy for Range Resetting

  1. Find Greediest Part of the Range: Identify the most advantageous entry point in the range.
  2. Work from Higher to Lower Time Frames: Move from higher time frames downwards to avoid confusion and missed data.
  3. Compare Levels: Evaluate different levels within a range to determine which is more likely to hold or break.
    • Example: Decide between a 5-minute or 15-minute hold level based on previous tests.
  4. Range Resetting in Detail: Mark levels as tested or untested and adjust ranges accordingly.
    • Determine which ranges are already tested and can't be used (mark in orange).
    • Identify new possible ranges to be tested.
  5. Consider Polarity: Polarized levels (high impact levels) are crucial for strong moves or bounces.
    • Example: A level might act as a key point for reversal if it's a final untested level in a strong movement.

Practical Examples

  • Levels and Tests: Use visual cues like colors and lines to differentiate tested and untested levels.
    • Example: Dash and orange for tested ranges; solid green for potential ranges.
  • Time Frames and Levels: Compare ranges across time frames to validate consistency.
    • Example: A level valid on the four-hour time frame should align when observed on the one-hour or 15-minute time frame.
  • Move Projections: Understand how moves and trends will evolve after identifying ranges.
    • Example: A break at a certain level could lead to a significant downward or upward trend depending on range analysis.

Common Pitfalls

  • Ignoring Higher Time Frames: Can result in missing major range data points.
  • Over-reliance on Smaller Time Frames: Can lead to incorrect range architecture and trading decisions.
  • Neglecting Tested Levels: Attempting trades on already tested levels that have higher chances of failing.

Summary

  • Accurate range identification and resetting are essential for successful trading decisions.
  • Always begin analysis with higher time frames and work downwards to ensure no crucial levels are missed.
  • Evaluate and adjust ranges dynamically based on market behavior and previous tests to maintain effective trading strategies.