Forex Lecture Notes: Finding Setups for Life

Jul 15, 2024

Lecture on Finding Forex Setups

Overview

  • Discussion on setups applicable to various asset classes (Forex, Index Futures).
  • Focus on removing uncertainty and understanding when and where setups form.
  • No specific pattern or PD array, but rather teaching how to identify your own setups.
  • Importance of Market profiling (not VWAP-related).
  • Setup for life = repeatable and specific setup.

Key Concepts

Understanding Setups

  • Identify when and where setups form in the market charts.
  • Incorporates Market profiling.
  • Applies to all asset classes (Forex, Index Futures, etc.).
  • New Traders and break-even Traders struggle with this.
  • Important to know what to look for and when.

ICT Models for All Assets

  • ICT: Inner Circle Trader models are suitable for various assets.
  • Applying setups that can repeat over and over. Specific, not ambiguous.
  • Entries might look 'too good to be true' but are based on real-time data.

Liquidity and PM Session Ranges

  • Importance of PM session ranges (1:30 PM - 4:00 PM NY local time).
  • Set charts to NY local time to avoid confusion.
  • Use previous day’s PM session high/low as reference points for liquidity.
  • Bullish scenarios: if prices trade near or below session lows, expect reversals targeting the highs.

Electronic Trading Hours vs. Regular Trading Hours

  • Distinguish between electronic (ETH) and regular (RTH) trading hours.
  • Apply appropriate time frames based on context (electronic for 24/7 markets, regular for session specific).

Specific Time-Based Ranges

PM Session Ranges

  • Previous day 1:30 PM - 4:00 PM NY time: identify highs and lows.
  • Reference points for liquidity if bullish, expect a run to buy side.
  • Use these time frames to understand where smart money will move.

London Session Raid

  • London session: 2 AM - 5 AM NY time for identifying range and liquidity targets.
  • Look for highs and lows during this time frame.

Opening Range Gaps

  • Opening range from previous day to current day: Identify gaps for potential market reversals/targets.
  • Sequence: identify where the market starts, anticipate possible runs into gaps.

New York Lunch Raid

  • Lunch hour liquidity raid (12 PM - 1 PM NY time): segment of manipulation.
  • Identify highs/lows within this window for potential reversals/movements post-lunch.
  • Look for shifts in the market post-reversal.

Other Key Entries

  • AM session range (9:30 AM -12 PM NY time): use highs and lows for defining liquidity and setup targets.
  • Aim for morning session highs/lows and liquidity raids.
  • Combine all. Regularly review these setups and compare them with live charts for consistency.

Key Strategies for Trade Execution

  • Turtle Soup (buying below old lows, selling above old highs as entry points).
  • Order Blocks, Fair Value Gaps (specific gaps identified in regular session hours).
  • Different P/D arrays: pick one that resonates and build from it.
  • 15-Second Charts (for ultra-short-term executions): learn to read these for timing very specific entries/exits.

Practical Application

  • Journaling setups to reinforce learning: record scenarios, patterns, and outcomes.
  • Compare with tools like Bookmap for confirming liquidity at key levels.
  • Apply P/D arrays repeatedly: Identify and practice entries, holding periods.
  • Build from specific setups: grow trading confidence and understanding over time.

Summary

  • Review price action in defined windows: Journal regularly and don’t rush trades.
  • Understand and implement the presented concepts gradually into trading routines.
  • Regular practice and comparing with previous data is crucial for improving accuracy.
  • Methods described are rooted in historical price action analysis and consistent time frames.