Transcript for:
Overview of Alternative Investments and Real Estate

Title: Investment Management Overview URL Source: blob://pdf/b1d249bb-3ec4-41b1-a8a3-a41de00b7e8f Markdown Content: Alternative # Investments Part I Real Estate, Private Equity, Hedge Funds, Commodities > Fernando Forcada, CFA > Selected Topics, March 2025 # 1Alternative Investments # Definition Alternative investments comprise groups of investments with risk and return characteristics that differ markedly from those of traditional stock and bond investments Note : Alternative investment has no universally accepted definition Alternative Investments fall outside of the definition of long -only, publicly traded investments in stocks, bonds, and cash Traditional investments include : Public equities (corporate stocks) Investment -grade bonds (debt issued by corporations and governments) Money Market/Cash Established methods used for traditional investments are not sufficient for managing and analyzing alternative investments # 2Alternative Investments Main # Characteristics Common features of alternative investments include : Relative illiquidity (associated with a return premium as compensation ) High asset manager specialization High due diligence costs In general, still low correlation of returns with those of traditional investments (diversifying potential) Less regulation and less transparency than traditional investments Limited and potentially problematic historical risk and return data (difficult performance evaluation because of the complexity of establishing valid benchmarks) Unique legal and tax considerations Incentive -based fees for asset managers to address information asymmetry Management of alternative investments is typically active # 3History of Alternative Investing The change in investment practices from evaluating risk on a stand -alone basis to a portfolio -as -a-whole basis was a clear milestone in alternative investing (in the 1950 s and 1960 s, Modern Portfolio Theory established the mechanics and advantages of diversification, evaluating risk on a portfolio basis) AuM in vehicles classified as alternative investments have grown rapidly since the mid -1990 s During 2008 the enthusiasm for alternative investments was tested, when AuM in alternative investment declined as losses were incurred and investors withdrew funds From 2012 , a resurgence of interest in alternative investments has occurred, with alternative investments growing rapidly during the low -yield world (until 2022 ) # 4CAIA Association, 2018 Reasons to invest in Alternative # Investments The three key reasons for adding alternative investments to a well - diversified portfolio : Reduced Risk through Diversification : One of the distinguishing features of most alternative investments is their lack of correlation with the major traditional asset classes Enhanced Return through Alpha : Alternative investing has a track record of offering opportunities that can enhance the risk -adjusted returns of well - diversified portfolios Avoiding Obsolescence : Institutional investors who are the last adopters of institutional -quality asset classes may find that prices have adjusted such that the greatest opportunities have been missed (first -mover advantage) # 5Global AuM and Revenue Alternative Assets : 20 % of Global AuM and 54 % of Global Revenue # 6 Source: BCGs Global Asset Management Market Sizing Database, 2024 Global AuM and Revenue Private Equity and Private Debt Are Expected to Generate About 70 % of Total Revenue from Alternatives by 2028 # 7 Source: BCGs Global Asset Management Market Sizing Database, 2024 Reasons to invest in Alternative # Investments > Alternative Investments Historical Returns and Volatilities # 8Challenges of using Alternative # Investments During periods of economic crisis , such as late 2008 , correlations among risky assets can increase dramatically Reported return data can be problematic : Reported returns and standard deviations are averages and may not be representative of sub -periods, given the great dispersion of results Many investments, such as direct real estate and private equity, are often valued using estimated (appraised) values Some alternative investments contain more tail risk than traditional investments The following tasks may be useful in avoiding tail risks : Do the Due Diligence Monitor the Funds Pay Attention to the Fund culture # 9 Regulatory restrictions and self -imposed limitations with internal investment policy statements The costs of due diligence in alternative investments may be a limiting factor for smaller portfolios Illiquidity is another limiting factor in the size of the allocation to alternative investments for investors with short investment horizons (in contrast to long -term investors looking for illiquidity premium) The size and type of some alternative investments may also be prohibitively large for certain investors Sophisticated investors with the longest investment time horizons, such as large pension funds or sovereign wealth funds, tend to allocate a larger share of their portfolio to these assets # 10 # Challenges of using Alternative # Investments Types of Alternative Investments Historically, RE, Private Equity, and commodities have been viewed as the primary alternatives In recent years, additional investments (modern alternative investments) have appeared, such as hedge funds or distressed debt Real Assets are sometimes defined as any economic resource (other than human capital) directly used to create value . They have value as a direct claim on productivity, in contrast to financial assets that are claims on cash flows . Real assets include tangible assets (infrastructure, land, farmland, timber ) but also intangibles (intellectual property), such as patents and copyrights, or fine art # 11 Questions > Relative to traditional investments, alternative investments are least likely to be characterized by : A High levels of transparency B Limited historical return data C Significant restrictions on redemptions > Solution : A is correct . Alternative investments are characterized as typically having low levels of transparency > Compared with traditional investments, alternative investments are more likely : A Greater use of leverage B Long -only positions in liquid assets C More transparent and reliable risk and return data > Solution : A is correct . Investing in alternative investments is often pursued through such special vehicles as hedge funds and private equity funds, which have flexibility to use leverage . Alternative investments include investments in such assets as real estate, which is an illiquid asset, and investments in such special vehicles as private equity and hedge funds, which may make investments in illiquid assets and take short positions . Obtaining information on strategies used and identifying reliable measures of risk and return are challenges of investing in alternatives # 12 Questions & Answers > Relative to traditional investments, alternative investments are least likely to be characterized by : A High levels of transparency B Limited historical return data C Significant restrictions on redemptions > Solution : A is correct . Alternative investments are characterized as typically having low levels of transparency > Compared with traditional investments, alternative investments are more likely : A Greater use of leverage B Long -only positions in liquid assets C More transparent and reliable risk and return data > Solution : A is correct . Investing in alternative investments is often pursued through such special vehicles as hedge funds and private equity funds, which have flexibility to use leverage . Alternative investments include investments in such assets as real estate, which is an illiquid asset, and investments in such special vehicles as private equity and hedge funds, which may make investments in illiquid assets and take short positions . Obtaining information on strategies used and identifying reliable measures of risk and return are challenges of investing in alternatives # 13 Digital Assets Digital assets are a relatively new investment class that covers assets that can be created, stored, and transmitted electronically and have associated ownership or use rights This class includes a wide variety of digital assets, including cryptocurrencies , tokens , and digital collectables(*) Based on the innovative distributed ledger technology (DLT), or blockchain technology , digital assets utilize advanced encryption techniques that assure the authenticity of digital assets As with other types of alternative investments, digital assets have characteristics distinct from traditional investments Digital assets offer investors diversification while providing higher expected returns than traditional investments provide . However, their risks are also higher # 14 NEW ASSET CLASS > (*)A digital collectible is a unique or limited -edition copy of a virtual item. Digital collectibles use blockchain > technology to create non -fungible tokens (NFTs) that allow for distribution and transfers in ownership # Cryptoassets Cryptocurrency definitions : A cryptocurrency is a digital version of a private currency understood as a means of exchange Transactions are recorded and verified on a decentralized(*) ledger using cryptographic algorithms by a community of users incentivized to maintain the integrity of the ledger by being rewarded with new units of the currency (*)These instruments are decentralized because they do not require the intervention of a centralized authority to validate and authenticate transactions Source : Cryptoassets : Beyond the Hype . CFA Institute, 01 /2023 Cryptocurrencies are the native currencies of their underlying public blockchains Public blockchain users and investors must pay network participants when using the blockchain They pay in the blockchains native cryptocurrency Thus, the demand for a specific cryptocurrency is driven by the demand for the underlying blockchain Public blockchains vary in design and serve different purposes Source : DWS International GmbH , 04 /2024 # 15 16 # The Crypto Landscape Source: CoinMarketCap.com. Data as of March 18, 2025 17 # Cryptocurrencies Market Cap Source: CoinMarketCap.com. Data as of March 18, 2025 Real Estate Real estate investing is often defined as direct or indirect ownership in real estate property (such as land and buildings) It also includes lending (debt investing) against real estate property , which generally serves as collateral or guarantee for the lending (such as MBS) For centuries, individual investors have owned interests in real estate, primarily in the form of residential and agricultural properties Between one -third and one -half of the worlds wealth is estimated to be represented by real estate Key reasons for investing in real estate include the following : Potential for competitive long -term total returns driven by both income generation and price appreciation Likelihood that less -than -perfect correlation with other asset classes may provide diversification benefits Potential to provide an inflation hedge if rents can be adjusted quickly for inflation Prospect that multiple -year rental contracts with fixed rents for some property types may reduce cash flow effects from economic shocks # 18 Real Estate Direct investment (direct ownership) : Residential property includes single -family houses and multi -family properties , such as apartments, and may be owner -occupied or rental properties Commercial real estate includes office, retail, industrial and warehouse, and hospitality (e .g., hotel and motel) . Note : Residential properties owned with the intention to rent them might be classified as commercial . These properties require active and experienced, professional management . Commercial real estate is by far the largest class of real estate for investment Agricultural land : Timberland (can be used to produce timber wood for use in the forest products Industry) Farmland (can be used to produce crops or as pastureland for livestock) Differences : While crops and livestock are produced annually, timber has a much longer growing cycle before the product is saleable . Also, the harvesting of timber can be deferred if market conditions are perceived to be unfavorable # 19 Real Estate Indirect investment : Real estate investment trusts (REITs), similar to FIBRA ( fideicomiso de inversin en bienes races ) in Mexico Equity REITs , which invest primarily in commercial or residential properties and use leverage Mortgage REITs , which invest primarily in mortgages Securities issued by companies engaged in real estate ownership, development, or management , such as homebuilders and real estate operating companies Infrastructure funds , which in cooperation with governmental authorities, make private investment in public infrastructure projects such as roads, tunnels, schools, hospitals, and airports in return for rights to specified revenue streams over a contracted period ( concesin in Spanish) # 20 Real Estate The basic indivisibility , unique characteristics (no two properties are identical), and fixed location of real estate property have implications for investors : The size of investment may have to be large and may be relatively illiquid Real estate property typically requires operational management and maintenance cost Real estate brokers charge high commissions relative to securities transaction fees Real estate may be subject to government regulations affecting what can be done to modify the existing property or to whom and how ownership can be transferred Local or regional markets can be independent of countrywide or global price movements , because local factors may override wider market trends # 21 Real Estate The lack of reliable, high -frequency transaction data for properties requires the use of appraisal -based valuations . Common techniques for appraising real estate property include : Comparable sales approach determines an approximate value based on recent sales of similar properties Income approach discounts future projected cash flows/net operating income to arrive at a PV for the property (inputs : cap rate, residual value, vacancy rate ... ) Cost approach evaluates the propertys replacement cost by estimating the market value of the land and the costs of rebuilding using current construction costs and standards # 22 Real Estate Main factors to consider when investing in Real Estate : Location is, probably, the most critical factor in determining value (location, location, and location ): Prime zone vs . suburbia / developing zone vs . consolidated zone Services (schools, hospitals, shopping centers ), Transportation (metro, highway ) in the area Supply/Demand growth in the area : Supply factors : current and future building projects or available land to build in the neighborhood/alternative areas Demand factors : Economic outlook, salary growth, employment rate Local regulations : building/refurbishment restrictions, taxes, carbon footprint requirements Specific local factors : What are customers demanding in that location? A Class -A building with a LEED 1 certification? A residential building with luxury/expensive or basic/economical amenities? What kind of building is most profitable for a particular location? For example, a refurbished office building or a modern four -star hotel in Barcelonas downtown (Passeig de Grcia )? # 23 (1) LEED is an abbreviation for Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design, an international certification for Green Build ing Real Estate Main factors to consider when investing in Real Estate (cont .): Robust business case with different scenarios to stress main economic variables : Rental income projection (single tenant?, multi -tenant?, lease terms, rental growth) Vacancy rates projection (vs . historical rates, current market rates) Maintenance costs / Operational expenses projection / Property taxes / Insurance Expected service (life) time of the building (depreciation) . Note : land is not amortized Price appreciation (if any ; only land? ... ) Cap rate (capitalization rate) is the most popular measure through which real estate investments are assessed for their profitability and return potential . It is the rate of return that is expected to be generated : net operating income (NOI) divided by the current market value In -depth Due Diligence # 24 Real Estate # 25 Main factors to consider when investing in Real Estate (cont .): Property Management . This matrix (based on income risk and deterioration risk ) helps to define a strategy on a property level : > Hold (keep it in the portfolio in order to optimize and maximize value) > Sell (the market price is above the estimated value) > Develop (we can add value to this asset) Real Estate > The main property types included in institutional investors portfolios are (1)Office, (2)Retail, (3)Industrial and warehouse, and (4)multi -family (apartments) : > 1. Office : the demand for office properties depends heavily on employment growth especially in those industries that use large amounts of office space, such as finance and insurance The office sector tends to be more cyclical , with higher rents and occupancy during times of economic strength, and vice versa . There also has been a tendency for the average amount of space per employee to decrease over time as technology has allowed more employees to spend more time working away from the office and less permanent space is needed > 2. Retail (from large shopping centers to small stores) : the demand for retail space depends heavily on trends in consumer spending . Consumer spending, in turn, depends on the health of the economy, job growth, population growth, and savings rates A unique aspect of many retail leases is the requirement that the tenants pay additional rent once their sales reach a certain level . In some markets (with high internet penetration), retail (physical stores) is challenged by the rise in e-commerce 26 Real Estate > 3. Industrial and warehouse (logistics) properties : the demand for industrial and warehouse space is heavily dependent on the overall strength of the economy and economic growth . The demand for warehouse space is also dependent on import and export activity in the economy On the flipside, one sector that is benefitting from the rise in e- commerce is logistics > 4. Multi -family residential properties (to rent) : the demand for multi - family spaces depends on population growth , especially for the age segment most likely to rent apartments The relevant age segment can be very broad or very narrow depending on the propensity to rent in the culture . Demand also depends on how the cost of renting compares with the cost of owning, and the financing conditions # 27 Real Estate Other (alternative) RE investments : Student Housing Senior Housing (Apartments / Senior residential suites for the elderly) Hotels/Motels : Hotels are usually considered riskier because there are no leases, and their performance may be highly correlated with the business cycle Parking facilities Other aspects to consider : Some buildings intended for one use may not easily be adapted for other uses . For example, buildings used by universities and hospitals may not easily be adapted to other use Some properties are more management intensive than others : hotels require the most day -to -day management . Shopping centers (shopping malls) are also relatively management intensive # 28 Real Estate Questions > An investor is interested in adding real estate to her portfolio for the first time . She has no previous real estate experience but thinks adding real estate will provide some diversification benefits . She is concerned about liquidity because she may need the money in a year or so . Which form of investment is most likely appropriate for her? A Shares of REITs B Mortgage -backed securities C Direct ownership of commercial real estate property > Solution : A is correct . She is probably better -off investing in shares of publicly traded REITs, which provide liquidity, have professional management, and require a lower investment than direct ownership of real estate . Although REITs are more correlated with stocks than direct ownership of real estate, direct ownership is much less liquid, and a lot of properties are needed to have a diversified real estate portfolio . Also, adding shares of REITs to her current portfolio should provide more diversification benefits than adding debt in the form of mortgage -backed securities and will allow her to benefit from any appreciation of the real estate . Debt investments in real estate, such as MBSs, are similar to other fixed -income investments, such as bonds (the difference is that their income streams are secured on real estate assets) . In contrast, adding equity real estate investments to a traditional portfolio will potentially have diversification benefits # 29 Real Estate Questions > An investor is interested in adding real estate to her portfolio for the first time . She has no previous real estate experience but thinks adding real estate will provide some diversification benefits . She is concerned about liquidity because she may need the money in a year or so . Which form of investment is most likely appropriate for her? A Shares of REITs B Mortgage -backed securities C Direct ownership of commercial real estate property > Solution : A is correct . She is probably better -off investing in shares of publicly traded REITs, which provide liquidity, have professional management, and require a lower investment than direct ownership of real estate . Although REITs are more correlated with stocks than direct ownership of real estate, direct ownership is much less liquid, and a lot of properties are needed to have a diversified real estate portfolio . Also, adding shares of REITs to her current portfolio should provide more diversification benefits than adding debt in the form of mortgage -backed securities and will allow her to benefit from any appreciation of the real estate . Debt investments in real estate, such as MBSs, are similar to other fixed -income investments, such as bonds (the difference is that their income streams are secured on real estate assets) . In contrast, adding equity real estate investments to a traditional portfolio will potentially have diversification benefits # 30 Real Estate Questions > Which is a riskier investment, direct ownership (equity) real estate or investment -grade bonds? Explain why > Solution : Empirical evidence suggests that private equity real estate is riskier than bonds . Although real estate leases offer income streams somewhat like bonds, the income expected when leases renew can be quite uncertain and depend on market conditions at that time, which is unlike the more certain face value of a bond at maturity > Which of the following is least likely to be considered an alternative investment? : A Real Estate B Commodities C Long -only equity funds > Solution : C is correct . Long -only equity funds are typically considered traditional investments and real estate and commodities are typically classified as alternative investments # 31 Real Estate Questions > Which is a riskier investment, direct ownership (equity) real estate or investment -grade bonds? Explain why > Solution : Empirical evidence suggests that equity real estate is riskier than bonds . Although real estate leases offer income streams somewhat like bonds, the income expected when leases renew can be quite uncertain and depend on market conditions at that time, which is unlike the more certain face value of a bond at maturity > Which of the following is least likely to be considered an alternative investment? : A Real Estate B Commodities C Long -only equity funds > Solution : C is correct . Long -only equity funds are typically considered traditional investments and real estate and commodities are typically classified as alternative investments # 32 References > Introduction to Alternative Investments . Terri Duhon, George Spentzos , CFA, FSIP, and Scott D. Stewart, CFA . CFA Institute 2017 > Alternative Investments : A Primer for Investment Professionals . Donald R. Chambers, CAIA, Keith H. Black, CFA, CAIA, and Nelson J. Lacey, CFA > Alternative Investments Portfolio Management . Jot K. Yau , PhD, CFA, Thomas Schneeweis , PhD, Thomas R. Robinson, PhD, CFA, and Lisa R. Weiss, CFA . CFA Institute, 2007 > Alternative Investments (Chapter 12 ). Sean W. Gill, CFA . CFA Institute 2014 . Investment Foundations > Private Real Estate Investments . Jeffrey D. Fisher, PhD, and Bryan D. MacGregor, PhD, MRICS, MRTPI . CFA Institute, 2012 . > The Rise of Alternative Assets and Long -Term Investing . Yue Liu, Sally Sun, Roy Huang, Tjun Tang, and Xinyi Wu . The Boston Consulting Group > Cryptocurrencies : coining a craze . Christopher F Chapman . Citi Research, 2017 > https ://www .hedgefundresearch .com/ > https ://www .investopedia .com # 33 Annex: Alternative Investments # Real Estate # 34 Real Estate is commonly believed to be a safe investment, which prices generally never go down, but US National Home Price Index Spain Home Price Evolution Peak -to -trough variation: -41% Peak -to -trough variation : -27% Source: https://www.tinsa.es/precio -vivienda/ Source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CSUSHPINSA