Overview
This lesson explains how to use Desmos.com to graph a binomial distribution and calculate probabilities using a coin-toss example.
Characteristics of a Binomial Experiment
- There is a fixed number of trials, denoted by ( n ).
- Each trial has only two outcomes: success (probability ( p )) or failure (probability ( q )); ( p + q = 1 ).
- Trials are independent and conducted under identical conditions.
- The random variable ( x ) represents the number of successes in ( n ) trials.
Example: Coin Toss
- Tossing a fair coin 50 times (( n = 50 )), with ( p = 0.5 ) for heads, ( q = 0.5 ) for tails.
Using Desmos to Graph the Distribution
- Go to desmos.com and select the Graphing Calculator.
- Enter the binomial distribution (select Distribution → Binomial).
- Input number of trials (50) and probability of success (0.5).
- Use the zoom fit button to adjust the graph window.
- Click points on the graph to see probabilities for specific numbers of successes.
Calculating Probabilities
- Probability of getting 30 or more heads (( x \geq 30 )): set min to 30, max to 50; result ≈ 0.101 (10.1%).
- Probability of 28 or fewer heads (( x \leq 28 )): set min to 0, max to 28; result ≈ 0.839 (83.9%).
- Probability of getting between 25 and 35 heads (( 25 \leq x \leq 35 )): set min to 25, max to 35; result ≈ 0.555 (55.5%).
- Probability of exactly 30 heads (( x = 30 )): set min and max to 30; result ≈ 0.042 (4.2%).
Key Terms & Definitions
- Binomial Experiment — an experiment with a fixed number of independent, identical trials, each with two possible outcomes.
- Trial — a single occurrence of the experiment.
- Success — the outcome of interest in a trial.
- Probability of Success (( p )) — chance of getting a success in one trial.
- Probability of Failure (( q )) — chance of getting a failure in one trial (( q = 1 - p )).
- Random Variable (( x )) — number of successes in ( n ) trials.
Action Items / Next Steps
- Practice using Desmos to graph and analyze other binomial distributions with different parameters.
- Record and interpret probabilities for additional binomial scenarios.