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Binomial Distribution Overview

Sep 24, 2025

Overview

This lesson explains how to use Desmos.com to graph a binomial distribution and calculate probabilities using a coin-toss example.

Characteristics of a Binomial Experiment

  • There is a fixed number of trials, denoted by ( n ).
  • Each trial has only two outcomes: success (probability ( p )) or failure (probability ( q )); ( p + q = 1 ).
  • Trials are independent and conducted under identical conditions.
  • The random variable ( x ) represents the number of successes in ( n ) trials.

Example: Coin Toss

  • Tossing a fair coin 50 times (( n = 50 )), with ( p = 0.5 ) for heads, ( q = 0.5 ) for tails.

Using Desmos to Graph the Distribution

  • Go to desmos.com and select the Graphing Calculator.
  • Enter the binomial distribution (select Distribution → Binomial).
  • Input number of trials (50) and probability of success (0.5).
  • Use the zoom fit button to adjust the graph window.
  • Click points on the graph to see probabilities for specific numbers of successes.

Calculating Probabilities

  • Probability of getting 30 or more heads (( x \geq 30 )): set min to 30, max to 50; result ≈ 0.101 (10.1%).
  • Probability of 28 or fewer heads (( x \leq 28 )): set min to 0, max to 28; result ≈ 0.839 (83.9%).
  • Probability of getting between 25 and 35 heads (( 25 \leq x \leq 35 )): set min to 25, max to 35; result ≈ 0.555 (55.5%).
  • Probability of exactly 30 heads (( x = 30 )): set min and max to 30; result ≈ 0.042 (4.2%).

Key Terms & Definitions

  • Binomial Experiment — an experiment with a fixed number of independent, identical trials, each with two possible outcomes.
  • Trial — a single occurrence of the experiment.
  • Success — the outcome of interest in a trial.
  • Probability of Success (( p )) — chance of getting a success in one trial.
  • Probability of Failure (( q )) — chance of getting a failure in one trial (( q = 1 - p )).
  • Random Variable (( x )) — number of successes in ( n ) trials.

Action Items / Next Steps

  • Practice using Desmos to graph and analyze other binomial distributions with different parameters.
  • Record and interpret probabilities for additional binomial scenarios.