Transcript for:
Lecture on Automotive Manufacturing Industry in Asia

The automotive manufacturing industry is  one of the largest backbone for economic   growth across Asia. The rise of Japan paved  the way for motor companies such as Toyota,   Nissan and Mitsubishi. This was followed by  South Korea’s rise which paved the way for   companies like Hyundai and Kia. Then soon China  would follow with companies like BYD, Great Wall   Motors and a long list of other names. India,  too, has its own company known as Tata Motors.   Within Southeast Asia, we have seen the rise in  both foreign investments and local companies.   In Vietnam, the company now has its own  electric vehicle brand known as VinFast.   Malaysia has long had their own brand known  as Proton and Perodua. Whilst Indonesia and   Thailand do not have a major car brand, they  are home to some of the biggest automotive   manufacturing facilities. From Toyota Motors  to Ford Motors have invested billions of   billions of dollars into these countries to  construct their own manufacturing facility. Out of all these, one country stood out;   The Philippines. The archipelago country is  the sole country out of all these major Asian   economies that still to this day not have a  car brand of its own, or even a major auto   manufacturing facility. A lot of their cars are  mostly imported overseas, like from Thailand. The effects, of course, result in a poor trade  balance. In basic economics, international trade   happens when a country exports and imports from  another country. The Philippines in this case,   imports from say Thailand. Doing so, they would  pay them in a foreign currency, usually denoted in   US dollars. When they do this, the US dollars that  they hold in their on foreign reserves account   goes down. It can be bad when the Philippines  foreign reserves goes down. That is because it   also has to pay for other things. Like they have  to pay their foreign debt obligations to say China   and Japan. They also have to import food. This  is why the Philippines, and any other country,   should always try to limit excess importation. But  the Philippines, due to unfortunate circumstances,   has one of the world’s largest trade deficits.  In 2023, the Philippines incurred a trade deficit   of over $52.4 billion US dollars. The Philippines  exported a mere 73 billion, but imported over 125   billion. The only reason why the Philippines  is not in a crisis is because of its service   exports such as its business process outsourcing  industry (BPO) and overseas Filipino worker   remittances (OFW). Had it not been for these,  the Philippines would be in a terrible shape. But then again, why has this been the case? Why   does the Philippines not have  an auto manufacturing industry? Well, let’s first look at the local company  landscape first. The Philippines actually had   one. It was known as Sarao Motors. Sarao Motors  was the famous Jeepney brand that manufactured   and sold hundreds of thousands of Jeepneys across  the country. At its peak, Sarao Motors produced 8   to 12 units daily, with some reports claiming  up to 20 units and employing 400 workers. But what happened to the company? Well,  back in 1997, there was a big crisis. It   was called the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis  which caused the peso to fall. This doubled   the cost of imported secondhand parts from  Japan. This led to financial difficulties as   Jeepneys became more expensive to operate and  repair due to the lack of standardized parts.  Furthermore, the government decided to stop  issuing new franchises for jeepney drivers   in the late 1990s which significantly reduced  demand for new jeepneys. By October of 2000,   Sarao Motors halted production and laid off about   250 workers. Edgardo Sarao cited  high production costs, low sales,   and rising wages as reasons for the closure in  an interview with the Philippine Daily Inquirer. Due to the strong demand for Jeepneys, they  continued the business. While operations were   downsized, they were still producing  units, albeit at a slower pace. Today,   Sarao Motors still operates with  about 50 employees. Moreover,   in 2018, they introduced an electric  jeepney prototype, the GP Sarao. Besides Sarao Motors, the Philippines  also has a local company called Francisco   Motors Corporation. They recently  offered to sell electric jeepneys,   and were developing a car called the Harabas  and the Anfra. On top of these two, there is   also the Almazora Motors Corporation,  a truck and bus body manufacturer. While there is evidence that the Philippines have  a local car brand. It is still nowhere near to   what other countries have gotten. Even Vietnam’s  VinFast, its own local car brand, is now amongst   the world’s most valuable car companies. As of the  time of writing, Vinfast is valued at 9.18 billion   dollars, making it the 35th most valuable company  in the entire world, surpassing even Japan’s Mazda   brand, and Sweden’s Volvo Cars. Local companies in  the Philippines are nowhere near a billion dollars   in valuation, neither will it be possible in the  near future that a car company may become one. Before we answer why this is the case, let’s first  take a look at the foreign investment landscape.   The Philippines is actually home to a few car  manufacturing facilities. The American automotive   giant; Ford Motors, had a long history in the  country. They opened up local automotive assembly   plants dating way back to 1968. Overtime, they  would shut their plants but eventually re-open   them back again. In 2012, however, they  would totally shut down their local plant. Why they did this was because the Philippines'  Ford plant was small by global standards, with 250   employees producing 35,000 vehicles annually. Ford  typically operates at a scale of 300,000 units   per plant, and their Plants in China, India, and  Thailand have this capacity, which isn't practical   in the Philippines. From a business perspective,  expanding a larger facility was more practical   than maintaining a smaller one. Additionally,  obtaining parts was easier near larger facilities.   Thus, after a month they announced the closure  of their Santa Rosa Plant in the Philippines,   Ford celebrated opening a new $450  million dollar facility in Rayong,   Thailand, expected to produce  150,000 units annually. Then in 2020, Honda Motors would  follow. Honda Motors announced the   closure of their assembly plant due to  low production volume. Their Santa Rosa   plant produced 8,000 units annually with 380  workers. The plant's low production volume,   compared to 250,000 in the  UK, made it unsustainable.  In 2021, Nissan Motors too closed their plant.  The closure led to the end of its Almera model,   which sold an average of 4,500 units annually.  The Almera, now not a locally assembled car,   is imported from Japan and Thailand. The  shutdown caused the loss of 133 workers. Right now, there is only an ample number of auto  manufacturing facilities in the Philippines,   mostly assembly plants. One of them  is the Mitsubishi Motors Philippines,   which has a 23 hectare manufacturing hub in  Laguna, with capabilities to produce 50,000   units per year. The other is Toyota Motors  Philippines, which has a long history in   the country. They have a big facility located  inside the 82-hectare Toyota Special Economic   Zone and its existing manufacturing plant has  the capacity to produce over 55,000 units per   year as of the end of 2021. While these two  still have a big presence in the country,   they are nowhere near the size of Thailand  and Indonesia. Moreover, a lot of the plants,   especially in Thailand are even for export  purposes. Meaning a number of cars manufactured   in Thailand will be sold to other Asian  countries. In the Philippines, most of their   cars are only for sale for local Filipino buyers.  This does not help the Philippines trade balance. So, why has the Philippines failed to have  its own auto manufacturing industry? Well,   let’s take a look at a few government policies.  There’s one known as the comprehensive Automotive   Resurgence Strategy (CARS) program introduced  in 2015. CARS sought to attract new investments,   stimulate demand, and implement industry  regulations to position the Philippines   as a regional automotive manufacturing hub.  Fiscal support for the program began in 2016,   with a total budget of P27 billion pesos. But what happened to the program? Some,  today, praised the outcome. In 2022,   the two companies participating in this Mitsubishi  Motors Philippines and Toyota Motor Philippines   will produce 207,165 units combined. But was it  really praise worthy? Sure, the government said   that this saved the country $1.01 billion  in forex and created nearly 110,000 jobs.   But it's still not enough. If you were paying  attention, this program was introduced in 2015,   but Nissan and Honda closed their plants in  2020 and 2021. This policy was not enough. But anyway, do let us know what  you think. Thanks for watching!