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Understanding Marginal Thinking in Decisions
Apr 2, 2025
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Lecture Notes on Thinking on the Margin
Key Concepts
Marginal
: Refers to a little bit more or a little bit less.
Thinking on the Margin
: Involves comparing the marginal benefit to the marginal cost of a decision to arrive at an optimal decision.
Example: Adjusting Volume on a Movie
Increase volume to hear dialogue better.
Compare marginal benefit (improved hearing) vs. marginal cost (potential distortion or disturbing others).
Optimal decision reached when marginal benefits equal marginal costs.
Importance of Thinking on the Margin
Decisional Approach
: A method to find optimal solutions by adjusting one factor at a time.
Focus
: Helps determine what not to think about, such as sunk costs.
Example: Clothing Shop Scenario
Scenario: Bought 100 pairs of bell-bottom jeans at $75 each, priced at $100.
Jeans not selling at $100; consider lowering price despite accountant's advice.
Sunk Cost
: Original price paid is irrelevant to current decisions.
Options
:
Store jeans hoping future demand increases.
Slash price to $50, clear inventory, invest in new trends (e.g., leg warmers).
Sunk Cost Fallacy
Definition
: Focusing on historical costs that cannot be recovered.
Example
: Continuing poor investments due to past expenses.
Advice
: Ignore past mistakes, focus on future opportunities.
Practical Advice from Economists
"Never give up" is not always beneficial.
Smart Decisions
: Sometimes itβs better to quit or shift focus.
Summary of Key Points
Marginal Thinking
: Evaluate a bit more or less until benefits equal costs (optimum).
Cost-Benefit Analysis
: Focus on changing costs/benefits, ignore sunk costs.
Application in Economics
Useful beyond academic settings.
Includes teaching materials and practice questions for further learning.
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