Presentation on Russian Involvement in the Central African Republic

Political and Historical Context

• European Underestimation: European leaders, including Emmanuel Macron, underestimated the Russian hybrid strategy in Africa.
• History of Relations: Relations with Russia date back to the 1960s with the presence of Russian cooperators.

Current Russian Intervention

• Wagner: Presence of Russian forces and the Wagner group under the pretext of military and security training.
• Growing Russian Influence: Shipment of weapons and instructors after France and the EU's reluctance to provide arms.

Local Consequences

• Security Control: Extended surveillance by Russian agents, including in hotels and transport.
• Military Presence: Wagner accompanies local forces and maintains security while controlling the economy (diamonds, uranium).

Criticisms and Ramifications

• Human Rights Issues: Reports of human rights violations by Wagner, including killings and rapes.
• Francophobia Sentiment: Growth of resentment towards France, facilitating Russian influence.

United Nations Position

• MINUSCA: UN mission to protect civilians with a significant budget, but not always effective against Wagner forces.

Narrative and Propaganda

• Russian Propaganda: Radio and other pro-Russian media influencing public opinion, justifying military presence.

Population Reactions

• Ambivalent Feelings: Fear of Russians and a sense of oppression, but also recognition for relative stabilization.

Economic Consequences

• Economic Impact: Increase in the cost of living, unpaid salaries, and economic tensions.

Conclusion

• Geopolitical Implications: Growing Russian influence in Central Africa questions Western presence, creating a dynamic of indirect confrontation on the continent.