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Understanding Leveraged Buyout Modeling

Oct 22, 2024

Lecture on LBO (Leveraged Buyout) Modeling

Introduction

  • Focus on LBO Modeling, different from DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
  • Video sponsored by WallStreetPrep and Wharton
  • Discusses a private equity certificate program
  • Mention of Wharton professors and top private equity firms involved in the program

Overview of the Private Equity Certificate Program

  • 8-week online program covering:
    • Intro to private equity
    • Investing frameworks
    • Private equity deal process, structure, valuation, and modeling
  • Networking opportunities with alumni
  • Includes recruiting events
  • Discounts available using a specific code

LBO Tutorial

  • Simple LBO model tutorial starting from scratch
  • Purpose: Build foundation for future, more advanced LBO tutorials
  • Offers email notifications for future resources

LBO Assumptions

  • LTM (Last Twelve Months) financials:
    • Revenue: $2 billion
    • COGS: $900 million
    • OpEx: $500 million
    • DNA: $100 million
    • Networking Capital: $200 million
    • CapEx: $140 million
  • Revenue growth: 10% for next 5 years
  • Tax rate: 21%
  • All margins remain flat
  • EBITDA multiple: 10x at entry and exit
  • Fees and expenses: $100 million
  • Debt structures:
    • Revolver: $200 million, 7.5% interest
    • Bank Loan: $2.5 billion, 9.5% interest
    • Senior Notes: $1.5 billion, 12.5% interest

Building the LBO Model

  • Sources and Uses Table:
    • Sources include Revolver, bank loans, senior notes, and sponsor equity
    • Uses include equity payment, fees and expenses, and debt refinancing
  • Financial Model:
    • Built from revenue, COGS, OpEx, DNA, EBITDA
    • Calculated interest expense, taxes, and net income
  • Leveraged Free Cash Flow:
    • Net income plus DNA minus CapEx and change in networking capital
  • Debt Schedule:
    • Prioritize paying down revolver, then bank debt, then senior notes
    • Calculated total interest and paydown amounts

Calculating IRR

  • LTM EBITDA at exit: 1127
  • Enterprise value: Calculated using exit multiple
  • Sponsor equity value compared at entry and exit
  • IRR calculated using MOIC formula: 23.7%

Summary

  • LBO model is built to evaluate IRR and MOIC
  • Future videos to include more complex models and real company financials

Conclusion

  • Encouragement to check out additional resources and sign-up for notifications
  • Mention of future Discord and additional courses in finance and MBA preparation
  • Emphasis on using the model as a learning tool for LBO and private equity.