Overview
The video documents an experiment opening 100 each of the "best," "mid," and "worst" CS:GO cases (Kilowatt, Revolution, Glove) to test whether their theoretical Return on Investment (ROI) matches actual results, highlighting the variance in profit and loss when opening cases.
Introduction & Sponsor
- The experiment covers Kilowatt (best ROI), Revolution (mid ROI), and Glove (worst ROI) CS cases.
- Theoretical ROIs: Kilowatt 75–80%, Revolution 50%, Glove 31%.
- Video is sponsored by Skin Land, a CS2 skin marketplace with bonus offers.
Glove Case Results (Worst ROI)
- Glove case costs nearly €1,000 to open 100 cases.
- Actual case opening yielded mostly low-value items, with gold items being exceedingly rare.
- The expected ROI was 31%, but the actual return was €41 (4% ROI).
- ROI accuracy was only 14%, performing significantly worse than predicted.
Revolution Case Results (Mid ROI)
- Revolution case has a theoretical 50% ROI; 65% of value comes from rare gloves, reds, and pinks.
- Actual opening yielded only €21 back, a 7.5% ROI.
- ROI accuracy was 15%, with actual results far below expectations.
Kilowatt Case Results (Best ROI)
- Kilowatt case claims nearly 80% theoretical ROI; only 35% of value from knives, making reds and pinks valuable.
- Actual result: €228 returned, exactly matching the predicted ROI (75%).
- Best item was an AK inheritance, contributing significantly to profit.
Analysis & Takeaways
- Actual ROI for Glove and Revolution cases fell far below theoretical values.
- Only the Kilowatt case matched its predicted ROI exactly.
- Luck plays a significant role regardless of theoretical odds.
Recommendations / Advice
- It is more cost-effective to buy the skin you want rather than opening hundreds of cases.
- Case ROI statistics may not reflect real-world outcomes, especially for older or rare cases.