Butterfly Effect L34: Polarity Flow 2

Jul 4, 2024

Understanding Polarity in Trading Strategy

Key Concepts

Polarity Levels

  • Polarity refers to key trading levels that influence long and short positions.
  • Essential to identify whether to take a long or short position at these levels.

Trade Decision Points

  • Key Idea: Only two points for decision-making: the level itself or none at all.
  • Short/Long Execution:
    • Short if at resistance level (upper side of polarity).
    • Long if at support level (lower side of polarity).
  • Avoid taking positions between these key levels to minimize risk.

Entry and Exit Strategy

  • Level Testing: Ensure a level has been fully tested before making a trade.
  • Breakout/Breakdown: Entry points should consider whether the price has broken above or below a given polarity level.
  • Only trade when a clear signal indicates a breakout above or below the polarity level.

Time Frame Analysis

Daily and 12-Hour Analysis

  • Mark polarity levels starting from daily and 12-hour charts.
  • Use these higher time frames to pinpoint significant trading levels (

Smaller Time Frames

  • Refine entry points using smaller time frames (1-hour, 15-minute, 1-minute).
  • Smaller time frames reveal micro trends but should not dictate primary trading decisions unless polarity is clear.

Laddering in Trading

  • Laddering: Series of highs and lows correlating to longer-term price movements.
  • Ladder from larger events to pinpoint smaller, local levels.
  • Example: Ladder 1 -> Ladder 2 -> Ladder 3.

Greediest Points

  • Focus on greedily untested points for robust trading decisions.
  • Avoid taking middle or less significant levels.
  • Key Rule: Greediest points generally indicate profitable trading levels due to high likelihood of reaction.

Backside/Frontside Combinations

  • Identify these combinations in the chart to make targeted decisions.
  • Typically associated with short-term adjustments and corrections.

Practical Application

Step-by-Step Approach

  1. Identify Key Polarity Levels: Mark polarity on larger time frames (daily, 12-hour).
  2. Move Down Time Frames: Gradually shift to smaller time frames to fine-tune the entry/exit strategy.
  3. Mark Key Testing Zones: Identify areas where price tested the same region several times.
  4. Execute on Greediest Points: Focus on trades at the greediest, untested points to maximize return.
  5. Use Replayer Tool: Utilize this for historical analysis to better understand how polarity plays out over time.

Handling Trades

  • Always exit if trade violates initially identified polarity levels.
  • Re-enter trades only when new signals indicate revised points of polarity.

Advanced Considerations

  • Larger global trends can impact local trades; understand the broader market context.
  • Instance within Instance: Concept of trading in micro trends within larger trends.
  • Post Analytics: Use historical data and post analytics for the best learning experiences.

Summary

  • Polarity is Key: Ensure to identify and respect polarity levels in trading.
  • Follow Greediest Points: Target these for higher likelihood of profitable trades.
  • Larger and smaller time frame analysis is crucial for leveraging polarity.

Rule of Thumb: Only take trades at the most untested, greediest levels for maximum efficacy. Use higher timeframe analysis to set polarity and fine-tune with smaller time frames.