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Understanding Fiscal and Supply Side Policies

Apr 24, 2025

AQA Economics A-level: Macroeconomics

Topic 5: Fiscal and Supply Side Policies

5.1 Fiscal Policy

  • Definition: Manipulation of government spending, taxation, and budget balance with macroeconomic and microeconomic effects.
  • Instruments:
    • Government spending and taxation
    • Influence circular flow by adjusting government budget, spending, and taxes
    • Targeted spending for economic stimulation

Objectives of Fiscal Policy

  • Stimulate economic growth
  • Stabilize the economy
  • UK focuses on pensions, welfare, health, and education
  • Largest tax revenue: Income tax

Fiscal Policy Impact on AD

  • Expansionary Fiscal Policy:

    • Increases AD by boosting spending or cutting taxes
    • Results in a higher budget deficit and potential borrowing
    • May lead to a government budget deficit
  • Deflationary Fiscal Policy:

    • Decreases AD by cutting spending or increasing taxes
    • Improves budget deficit

Fiscal Policy Impact on AS

  • Reduce taxes to encourage spending and investment
  • Subsidize training, enhance education
  • Invest in healthcare to boost labor productivity
  • Infrastructure investments (e.g., roads, schools)

Government Budget and Deficit

  • Budget Deficit: Expenditure > Tax receipts
  • Budget Surplus: Tax receipts > Expenditure
  • Debt vs. Deficit:
    • Debt: Accumulation of deficits
    • Deficit: Difference between expenditure and revenue

Taxation Types

  • Direct Taxes: Income, corporation, NICs, inheritance
  • Indirect Taxes: VAT, fuel duty
    • Ad valorem: Percentage taxes (e.g., VAT)
    • Specific Taxes: Fixed amount per unit (e.g., fuel duty)

Tax Structures

  • Proportional Tax: Flat rate
  • Progressive Tax: Increases with income
  • Regressive Tax: Higher burden on lower incomes

Principles of Taxation

  • Low collection cost relative to yield
  • Clear timing and quantity for taxpayers
  • Convenience in payment
  • Based on ability to pay and equity
  • Maintain efficiency and align with international systems
  • Adjust for inflation

Limitations of Fiscal Policy

  • Imperfect information
  • Time lags
  • Crowding out private sector
  • Multiplier effect importance
  • Interest rate influence
  • Debt repayment issues

Public Expenditure Types

  • Current Expenditure: Recurring spending (e.g., healthcare drugs)
  • Capital Expenditure: Asset investment (e.g., roads, schools)
  • Transfer Payments: Welfare support (e.g., pensions, benefits)

Public Expenditure Trends

  • Focus on pensions and welfare
  • Constant education spending
  • Increasing social security post-war
  • Decreasing defense spending

Effects on Economic Variables

  • Productivity and Growth: Investment in human capital
  • Crowding Out: Reduced private investment
  • Taxation Level: Potential tax increase with debt
  • Equality and Living Standards: Progressive taxes, public services

Budget Balance and National Debt

  • Surplus, Deficit, Balanced Budget: Tax vs. expenditure
  • Debt: Accumulated deficits
  • Reducing Debt: Surplus needed

Deficit Types

  • Cyclical Deficit: Business cycle related
  • Structural Deficit: Revenue-expenditure imbalance

Consequences of Deficits/Surpluses

  • Inflationary potential
  • Crowding out
  • Interest rate increase

National Debt Significance

  • Increased borrowing costs
  • Confidence impact
  • Potential high taxes and austerity

Role of the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR)

  • Analyzes UK finances
  • Produces 5-year forecasts
  • Monitors fiscal targets
  • Scrutinizes tax and welfare
  • Assesses long-term sustainability