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Z-Test Interpretation Guide

Jul 12, 2025

Overview

This lecture explains how to interpret the Z-test statistic by focusing on its sign and magnitude to determine whether a sample is unusual and what that means for hypothesis testing.

Interpreting the Z-Test Statistic

  • The Z-test statistic consists of two key parts: its sign and its value (magnitude).
  • The sign of the Z-test statistic indicates the relationship between sample proportion (P-hat) and hypothesized proportion (Pā‚€).
  • A positive Z-test statistic means P-hat is greater than Pā‚€.
  • A negative Z-test statistic means P-hat is less than Pā‚€.
  • The location of P-hat relative to Pā‚€ can be seen as right (positive Z) or left (negative Z) of the center.

Importance of Z-Test Value

  • The value (magnitude) of the Z-test statistic shows how unusual the sample is.
  • If Z is less than -2 or greater than 2, the sample is considered unusual (more than two standard errors from the center).
  • An unusual sample (|Z| > 2) is evidence against the null hypothesis (Pā‚€).
  • If Z is between -2 and 2, the sample is not considered unusual.
  • A non-unusual sample (|Z| < 2) means there is not enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis.

Practical Use in Hypothesis Testing

  • The main purpose of the test statistic is to assess how far the sample result is from what is expected under the null hypothesis.
  • Unusual samples provide evidence to discredit the null hypothesis.
  • Typical (not unusual) samples are not strong enough evidence to reject the null.

Key Terms & Definitions

  • Z-test statistic — A value that measures how many standard errors a sample statistic is from the hypothesized population parameter.
  • P-hat (š‘ƒĢ‚ ) — The sample proportion.
  • Pā‚€ — The hypothesized population proportion in the null hypothesis.
  • Null hypothesis — The default assumption that there is no effect or no difference.

Action Items / Next Steps

  • Add this summary of Z-test interpretation to your note sheet for exam preparation.