Weather Forecast for Upcoming Weeks

Overview

• Active weather pattern expected to impact the United States over the next couple of weeks.
• Multiple storm systems anticipated, starting with a major storm in the Southeast.
• Potential for severe weather including tornadoes and excessive rainfall.
• Focus on Great Plains, Midwest, and Ohio Valley for upcoming severe weather events.

Current Weather Situation

• Southeast Atmospheric River:
  • Large non-tropical storm system resembling an atmospheric river in the Gulf.
  • Anticipated to bring heavy rainfall and potential tornadoes in Florida, Alabama, Georgia, and South Carolina over the next 48 hours.
  • Slow-moving system acts as a blockade, keeping Great Plains quiet initially.
  • Ridge in southern plains keeping the area dry and warm until mid-week.

Severe Weather Risk

• Sunday to Monday:
  • Low pressure system with strong southwesterly flow raising tornado risk in Florida, Alabama, and Georgia.
  • Potential increase in tornado threat, especially on Monday.
• Tuesday to Thursday:
  • Gradual weakening of the low pressure system.
  • New storm system moving over Rockies, potentially bringing severe weather to central plains and Midwest.
  • Factors influencing severity include capping, moisture level, and instability.
• Thursday to Saturday:
  • Potential mesoscale convective system in Midwest or central plains.
  • Threat of damaging winds, hail, and possible tornadoes.

Long-Term Weather Pattern

• Jetstream expected to flatten in Midwest later in the week.
• GFS model indicates troughing near Rockies leading to multiple severe weather events.
• Active pattern expected through end of May.

Future Radar and Predictions

• Saturday to Monday:
  • Showers and thunderstorms along Gulf Coast and Southeast, leading to flooding and scattered severe weather.
• Tuesday:
  • Reduced severe weather risk, primarily in Mid-Atlantic.
• Wednesday to Thursday:
  • Low pressure system crossing Rockies, posing isolated severe weather threat in central plains.
  • Storm coverage uncertain due to potential slow movement and capping issues.

Rainfall and Temperature Outlook

• Heavy rainfall expected along Southeast and East Coast, with potential 4–8 inches in Georgia, South Carolina, and Florida.
• Central and southern plains and Midwest expect minimal rain initially, with potential increase by weekend.
• Below-average temperatures along Gulf Coast and Southeast; above-average temps in Midwest and Great Plains mid-week.
• Potential for record-breaking highs in Ohio Valley and Northeast.
• Long-term: East of Rockies to remain above average in temperature, West to be below average.

Safety and Preparedness

• Be aware of localized flooding, especially in low-lying areas.
• Stay informed about severe weather alerts, especially potential tornado threats.
• Prepare for shifting weather patterns and temperature changes.
• Weather updates and alerts recommended via subscription and notification services.