Labour's Brexit Plan under Keir Starmer

Jul 17, 2024

Lecture on Labour's Brexit Plan

Introduction

  • Speaker: Discussing Labour's Brexit policy under Keir Starmer and potential changes.
  • Current Situation: Starmer's historically cautious approach to Brexit.
  • Future Focus: Labour's proposed UK-EU security agreement.

Labour's Goals for UK-EU Relations

1. Change in Tone

  • Objective: Be friendlier and easier to negotiate with compared to Conservative predecessors.
  • Reasoning:
    • Labour's base and MPs are broadly pro-EU.
    • Improve the UK's international standing.

2. Minor Amendments to the Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA)

  • TCA: Reviews implementation every 5 years; the first in June 2026.
  • Current Status: EU focused on other issues like Ukraine, trade war with China, internal disputes.
  • Labour’s Optimism: Originally aimed at substantial changes, now more minimal.
  • Proposed Changes:
    1. Closer Regulatory Alignment in Chemical Industry: Reduce trade frictions and registration costs.
    2. Veterinary Agreement: Prevent unnecessary border checks for agri-food exports.
    3. Mutual Recognition of Professional Qualifications (MRPQ): Allow professionally qualified individuals in the UK to work in the EU without re-qualifying.
    • Challenges: Time-consuming, potential resistance (e.g., Canada's experience with the EU).

3. New UK-EU Security Deal

  • Interest from the EU: Keen due to UK's military strength.
  • Labour's Broader Vision: Coordination across military, economic, climate, health, cyber, and energy security issues.
  • Types of Agreements:
    • Legally-binding: Requires adherence to single market rules.
    • Political Agreement: Quick to sign, can be elaborated over time.

Potential for Changes in Labour’s Approach

  • Political Calculations:
    • Irrelevance of figures like Nigel Farage could make closer EU ties less risky.
    • Stagnant economic growth might necessitate closer EU relations as a growth strategy.

Conclusion

  • Future Watch: Monitor Labour’s shifting tactics and attitudes towards Brexit.

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