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Analyzing Tesla Stock Decisions
Sep 17, 2024
Tesla Stock Sale and Analysis
Introduction
Sold Tesla stock for the first time since 2021.
Shares purchased in June 2019 at $2,900; sold now for over $45,000.
Reasons for selling and retaining some shares.
Reasons for Selling
Company Performance
Tesla’s recent revenue growth has been poor:
8% growth, 3% growth, 8% growth, -8% shrink, 2% growth over recent quarters.
Comparison to other companies like Coca-Cola, Pepsi, McDonald's, which had better numbers.
Decline in gross margins since early 2022.
Lack of Pricing Power
Companies like Meta, Apple, and Nvidia have shown strong pricing power, unlike Tesla.
Tesla's ability to command higher prices is diminishing.
Valuation Concerns
Tesla’s P/E ratios are high, especially compared to peers like Meta and Nvidia.
Earnings per share growth and revenue growth are not strong enough to support high valuations.
Slow Progress
Cybertruck and Semi production ramps are slower than expected.
Delay in the release of new features, such as the range extender.
Autonomous vehicle developments are lagging behind competitors like Waymo.
Elon Musk's Influence
Concerns over Elon Musk’s focus and prioritization of Tesla.
Perception of Musk as a controversial figure rather than a business innovator.
Lack of preparation for high-interest rate environments.
Reasons for Retaining Shares
Future Market Potential
Belief in near 100% EV adoption over the next decade.
Tesla’s leading position in the EV market.
Autonomous Taxi Networks
Potential for Tesla to lead in autonomous taxi networks.
Tesla's Services
Expected growth in Tesla’s service areas, including self-driving subscriptions, supercharging, parts, and insurance.
Culture and Workforce
Strong innovative culture and intelligent workforce at Tesla.
Future Outlook
Upcoming Robo Taxi event on October 10th could influence stock momentum.
Tesla’s potential to regain footing with new developments.
Conclusion
The decision to sell some shares is based on a combination of company performance, valuation, and strategic concerns.
Retaining shares is based on long-term belief in Tesla’s market positioning and future growth potential.
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