Understanding Monetarism and Its Impact

Aug 27, 2024

Importance of Money and Monetarism

Introduction to Monetarism

  • Monetarism is a school of economic thought.
  • Main assertion: The money supply is the chief determinant of:
    • Current money GDP in the short run.
    • Price level in the long run.

Monetary Policy

  • Instruments used:
    • Interest rates to adjust the money supply.
  • Objective: Target growth rate of the money supply.

Historical Context

  • Gained prominence in the 1970s.
  • Significant in reducing inflation in the U.S. and U.K.
  • Influenced U.S. central bank's actions during the 2007-2009 global recession.

Milton Friedman and the Great Depression

  • Primarily associated with Milton Friedman, a Nobel Prize-winning economist.
  • Argued that poor monetary policy by the Federal Reserve caused the Great Depression in the 1930s.
  • Critique of the Fed's actions:
    • Failed to offset downward pressures on the money supply.
    • Reduced the stock of money, contrary to what should have been done.

Market Behavior

  • Markets naturally move towards stability.
  • Incorrectly set money supply leads to erratic market behavior.

Criticism and Conclusion

  • Keynesian school criticized the monetarist perspective.
  • Key takeaway:
    • Inflation cannot continue indefinitely without an increase in the money supply.
    • Controlling the money supply is the central bank's primary responsibility.